🇰🇪 FKF Premier League
· Regular Season - 24
FT
Sofapaka vs Nairobi United - FKF Premier League
Kasarani Annex Stadium
AI Match Analysis
A crucial FKF Premier League clash sees struggling Sofapaka, languishing at 18th, desperately seeking points against a mid-table Nairobi United side currently occupying 10th position. Sofapaka are in dire need of a victory to ignite their survival hopes, while Nairobi United will aim to consolidate their position and potentially push for a top-half finish. The match at Kasarani Annex Stadium offers a contrasting narrative of a team fighting for survival versus one establishing itself in the league.
Nairobi United enter the match in decent form, recording two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings. Their away form is particularly impressive, boasting five wins, three draws, and only two losses, showcasing their ability to secure results on the road. Sofapaka's home form, however, paints a bleak picture, with only one win, four draws, and seven losses, suggesting significant struggles in their own backyard. They'll need a dramatic turnaround to overcome their home woes against a confident Nairobi United team. A recent draw against KCB demonstrates Nairobi United's ability to compete against strong opposition.
The single previous meeting between these two teams resulted in a win for Sofapaka, providing a glimmer of hope despite their current form. Injury information is unavailable, but any key absences could significantly impact the match. While the Elo model favors a Sofapaka victory, Nairobi United's superior form and strong away record suggest that they will be difficult to overcome, potentially leading to a frustrating afternoon for the home side.
Nairobi United enter the match in decent form, recording two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings. Their away form is particularly impressive, boasting five wins, three draws, and only two losses, showcasing their ability to secure results on the road. Sofapaka's home form, however, paints a bleak picture, with only one win, four draws, and seven losses, suggesting significant struggles in their own backyard. They'll need a dramatic turnaround to overcome their home woes against a confident Nairobi United team. A recent draw against KCB demonstrates Nairobi United's ability to compete against strong opposition.
The single previous meeting between these two teams resulted in a win for Sofapaka, providing a glimmer of hope despite their current form. Injury information is unavailable, but any key absences could significantly impact the match. While the Elo model favors a Sofapaka victory, Nairobi United's superior form and strong away record suggest that they will be difficult to overcome, potentially leading to a frustrating afternoon for the home side.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
41%
2.05
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
28%
3.86
low
O/U
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
high
Match Info
Stadium
Kasarani Annex Stadium
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 24
Sofapaka
Nairobi United
54.28%
Win Probability
45.72%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Nairobi United
Predicted winner: Nairobi United — Win or draw
Sofapaka
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Nairobi United
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -2.5
Match Events
41'
⚽
Osanya
Head to Head
Sofapaka
Nairobi United
1
0
1 wins
0 draws
0 wins
2025-11-01
Nairobi United
0 - 3
Sofapaka
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
3.25
Draw
3.10
Away
2.05
Home
4.33
Draw
1.91
Away
2.88
Over 2.5
2.62
Under 2.5
1.44
Home +0.25
1.98
Away +0.25
1.82
Home +0.25
1.60
Away +0.25
2.30
Home/Draw
1.62
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.25
Home/Draw
1.40
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.20
1:0
7.50
2:0
15.00
2:1
15.00
3:0
34.00
3:1
34.00
3:2
51.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
81.00
0:0
6.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
26.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
8.50
0:3
17.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
23.00
2:3
41.00
0:4
34.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
81.00
0:5
67.00
1:0
5.50
2:0
21.00
2:1
41.00
3:0
67.00
0:0
2.20
1:1
10.00
2:2
81.00
0:1
4.00
0:2
12.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
Home/Draw
19.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
5.00
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
6.00
Draw/Home
7.00
Away/Home
41.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
3.50
Home
2.38
Away
1.53
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.30
Even
1.62
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Over 2
2.05
Under 2
1.75
Over 0.75
1.90
Under 0.75
1.90
Home
2.50
Draw
6.00
Away
1.83
FKF Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
GOR Mahia
|
24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 42:17 | +25 | 53 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
AFC Leopards
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 31:18 | +13 | 43 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 3. |
Shabana
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:25 | +4 | 40 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 4. |
Homeboyz
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:25 | +9 | 38 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 5. |
Murang'a SEAL
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | +6 | 37 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Police
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 20:16 | +4 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 7. |
Tusker
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 37 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
KCB
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 34 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 9. |
Nairobi United
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | +6 | 33 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 10. |
Bandari
|
24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
| 11. |
Mara Sugar
|
23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 12. |
Mathare United
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 21:23 | -2 | 29 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 13. |
Posta Rangers FC
|
24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 21:28 | -7 | 28 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 15. |
Bidco United
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
APS Bomet
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 17. |
Ulinzi Stars
|
24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 18. |
Sofapaka
|
24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15:34 | -19 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Champions League
Relegation
Season Form
Sofapaka
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
GF: 15
GA: 33
GD: -18
Nairobi United
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 26
GA: 21
GD: +5
Last 5 Matches
Nairobi United
04 Mar
H
KCB
1-1
D