🇮🇪 Premier Division
· Regular Season - 7
NS
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City - Premier Division
Richmond Park
AI Match Analysis
A crucial Premier Division clash sees second-placed St Patrick's Athletic host Derry City, currently sitting in sixth. With St. Pat's looking to close the gap on the league leaders and Derry aiming to climb into the European qualification spots, this Round 7 encounter at Richmond Park promises to be a tense affair.
St Patrick's Athletic enter the game in strong form, unbeaten in their last three and boasting a perfect home record with three wins from three. While their recent run includes two draws against Drogheda United and Shelbourne, prior to that they recorded three consecutive wins. Contrastingly, Derry City's form is patchy, alternating between wins and losses in their last five. Their away form is also a concern, having lost their only away fixture so far, although recent draws against Shelbourne and Shamrock Rovers suggest they are becoming harder to beat on the road.
Historically, Derry City have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings compared to St. Pat's single victory. However, the home side's impressive form at Richmond Park, coupled with the significant difference in league position and a substantial home win probability of 70.48%, suggests that St Patrick's Athletic are strong favorites to take all three points.
St Patrick's Athletic enter the game in strong form, unbeaten in their last three and boasting a perfect home record with three wins from three. While their recent run includes two draws against Drogheda United and Shelbourne, prior to that they recorded three consecutive wins. Contrastingly, Derry City's form is patchy, alternating between wins and losses in their last five. Their away form is also a concern, having lost their only away fixture so far, although recent draws against Shelbourne and Shamrock Rovers suggest they are becoming harder to beat on the road.
Historically, Derry City have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings compared to St. Pat's single victory. However, the home side's impressive form at Richmond Park, coupled with the significant difference in league position and a substantial home win probability of 70.48%, suggests that St Patrick's Athletic are strong favorites to take all three points.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
55%
2.10
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
29%
2.00
low
O/U
Over 2.5
49%
2.25
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Richmond Park
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 7
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
70.48%
Win Probability
29.52%
Match Analysis
Double chance : St Patrick's Athl. or draw
Predicted winner: St Patrick's Athl. — Win or draw
St Patrick's Athl.
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Derry City
10.00%
Expected goals:
-3.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2025-08-29
Derry City
2 - 2
St Patrick's Athl.
HT: 0-1
2025-06-23
St Patrick's Athl.
0 - 1
Derry City
HT: 0-1
2025-05-05
Derry City
1 - 0
St Patrick's Athl.
HT: 0-0
2025-03-03
St Patrick's Athl.
2 - 0
Derry City
HT: 1-0
2024-10-25
St Patrick's Athl.
1 - 0
Derry City
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.10
Draw
3.00
Away
3.30
Home
2.88
Draw
2.05
Away
4.00
Home
2.60
Draw
2.25
Away
3.50
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Yes
2.00
No
1.75
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Home -1.25
3.80
Away -1.25
1.25
Home -1
3.45
Away -1
1.30
Home -0.75
2.50
Away -0.75
1.50
Home -0.5
2.15
Away -0.5
1.68
Home -0.25
1.85
Away -0.25
1.95
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.32
Away +0.5
3.30
Home +0.75
1.21
Away +0.75
4.25
Home +1
1.10
Away +1
6.80
Home -1.75
5.90
Away -1.75
1.13
Home -1.5
4.25
Away -1.5
1.21
Home +1.25
1.12
Away +1.25
6.00
Home +1.5
1.11
Away +1.5
6.60
Home -0.75
3.90
Away -0.75
1.24
Home -0.5
2.85
Away -0.5
1.40
Home -0.25
2.25
Away -0.25
1.62
Home +0
1.62
Away +0
2.25
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.24
Away +0.5
3.90
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.62
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
6.50
2:0
9.50
2:1
9.50
3:0
21.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
7.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
17.00
0:1
8.50
0:2
17.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
101.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
301.00
1:5
251.00
2:5
351.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
101.00
5:1
101.00
5:2
151.00
6:0
351.00
6:1
351.00
4:3
126.00
3:5
501.00
5:3
401.00
4:4
401.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
12.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
301.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
8.50
2:2
67.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
101.00
2:3
251.00
0:4
351.00
1:4
501.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
7.00
Draw/Draw
4.50
Home/Home
3.60
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.53
Away
2.38
Home/Yes
5.00
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
8.00
Home/No
3.40
Draw/No
7.50
Away/No
5.50
o/yes 2.5
2.75
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.00
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
7.50
1
4.00
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
7.00
5
15.00
6
34.00
more 7
51.00
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
41.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.40
1
2.60
2
3.75
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.40
Under 1.5
2.85
Over 1.75
1.50
Under 1.75
2.50
Over 2.25
1.98
Under 2.25
1.82
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 2.75
2.60
Under 2.75
1.48
Over 3.5
4.10
Under 3.5
1.23
Over 1
1.11
Under 1
6.60
Over 2
1.65
Under 2
2.20
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.32
Over 0.75
1.10
Under 0.75
7.00
Over 1.25
1.25
Under 1.25
3.80
Over 3.25
3.70
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
5.25
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.25
Under 1.75
1.21
Over 1
2.15
Under 1
1.68
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.68
Under 0.75
2.15
Over 1.25
2.68
Under 1.25
1.45
Home -1
4.50
Away -1
1.62
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
26.00
Draw -3
15.00
Away -3
1.04
Home -2
11.00
Draw -2
6.50
Away -2
1.18
Home +1
1.30
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
8.00
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
9.50
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.60
Home -3
151.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.05
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
15.00
Over 9.5
1.90
Under 9.5
1.90
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.00
Under 4
2.62
Over 4.5
2.02
Under 4.5
1.78
Home -0.5
1.80
Away -0.5
2.00
Home -1
2.20
Away -1
1.91
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 4.5
41.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.40
1
2.50
2
3.75
more 3
6.00
Over 4.5
1.67
Under 4.5
2.10
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
29.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.40
2
4.75
more 3
11.00
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.73
Home
3.40
Away
5.50
Home
8.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.67
Away
2.20
Home
11.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.80
Draw
7.50
Away
2.30
Home
1.80
Draw
7.50
Away
2.30
Draw
3.25
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
3.75
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
4.00
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.50
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
3.75
Away/Under 2.5
6.00
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
5.00
1 by 4+
26.00
1 by 2
6.50
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
15.00
2 by 3
29.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
7.50
Matthew O'Hara
4.50
Billy Canny
10.00
James Clarke
3.75
Carl Winchester
15.00
Brandon Fleming
15.00
Jamie Stott
17.00
Barry Cotter
12.00
Billy Hayes
5.50
Barry Baggley
6.50
Darragh Markey
6.50
Michael Duffy
4.50
Adam O'Reilly
7.50
Ronan Boyce
5.50
Conor Barr
8.00
Ben Doherty
8.00
Cameron Dummigan
15.00
Kevin Santos
5.50
Aidan Keena
2.88
Chris Forrester
3.60
Jason McClelland
4.00
Jason Oyenuga
4.50
Jamie Lennon
6.50
Rhys Bartley
8.00
Romal Palmer
3.75
Zak Elbouzedi
5.50
Kian Leavy
8.00
Luke Turner
12.00
Tom Grivosti
12.00
Joe Redmond
15.00
Anthony Breslin
15.00
Simon Power
5.50
Patrick McClean
17.00
Henry Rylah
7.50
Kian Quigley
8.00
Callum Downey
8.00
Ryan Long
5.50
Gavin Whyte
4.33
Ciaran Mullan
12.00
James McClean
8.00
Dipo Akinyemi
3.75
Alex Bannon
15.00
Liam Boyce
3.60
James Brown
5.50
Ryan Edmondson
3.00
Max Mata
3.40
Darragh Nugent
5.50
Sean Hoare
11.00
Josh O'Connor
10.00
Rob Slevin
17.00
Glory Nzingo
3.40
Luke Kehir
4.50
Sam Rooney
5.50
Yssouf Soro
5.50
Ryan Sheridan
5.50
James Olayinka
10.00
Joshua Thomas
3.25
James Clarke
3.75
Carl Winchester
15.00
Brandon Fleming
15.00
Jamie Stott
17.00
Barry Cotter
12.00
Darragh Markey
6.50
Michael Duffy
4.50
Adam O'Reilly
7.50
Conor Barr
8.00
Ben Doherty
8.00
Cameron Dummigan
15.00
Kevin Santos
5.50
Patrick McClean
17.00
Henry Rylah
7.50
Callum Downey
8.00
Ryan Long
5.50
Gavin Whyte
4.33
Ciaran Mullan
12.00
James McClean
8.00
Dipo Akinyemi
3.75
Alex Bannon
15.00
Liam Boyce
3.60
Rob Slevin
17.00
James Olayinka
10.00
Joshua Thomas
3.25
James Clarke
8.50
Carl Winchester
34.00
Brandon Fleming
34.00
Jamie Stott
41.00
Barry Cotter
29.00
Darragh Markey
15.00
Michael Duffy
10.00
Adam O'Reilly
17.00
Conor Barr
19.00
Ben Doherty
19.00
Cameron Dummigan
34.00
Kevin Santos
12.00
Patrick McClean
41.00
Henry Rylah
17.00
Callum Downey
19.00
Ryan Long
12.00
Gavin Whyte
9.50
Ciaran Mullan
29.00
James McClean
19.00
Dipo Akinyemi
8.50
Alex Bannon
34.00
Liam Boyce
8.00
Rob Slevin
41.00
James Olayinka
23.00
Joshua Thomas
7.00
James McClean
67.00
Draw
2.00
1st Half
4.00
2nd Half
2.88
James Clarke
8.50
Carl Winchester
34.00
Brandon Fleming
34.00
Jamie Stott
41.00
Barry Cotter
29.00
Darragh Markey
15.00
Michael Duffy
10.00
Adam O'Reilly
17.00
Conor Barr
19.00
Ben Doherty
19.00
Cameron Dummigan
34.00
Kevin Santos
12.00
Patrick McClean
41.00
Henry Rylah
17.00
Callum Downey
19.00
Ryan Long
12.00
Gavin Whyte
9.50
Ciaran Mullan
29.00
James McClean
19.00
Dipo Akinyemi
8.50
Alex Bannon
34.00
Liam Boyce
8.00
Rob Slevin
41.00
James Olayinka
23.00
Joshua Thomas
7.00
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
James McClean
67.00
Ryan Edmondson
12.00
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home
3.20
Away
4.75
Draw
1.67
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.10
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
11.00
Over
1.62
Under
2.20
Home
8.00
Draw
1.12
Away
10.00
Matthew O'Hara
10.00
Billy Canny
23.00
James Clarke
8.50
No Goalscorer
7.50
Carl Winchester
34.00
Brandon Fleming
34.00
Jamie Stott
41.00
Barry Cotter
29.00
Billy Hayes
12.00
Barry Baggley
15.00
Darragh Markey
15.00
Michael Duffy
10.00
Adam O'Reilly
17.00
Ronan Boyce
13.00
Conor Barr
19.00
Ben Doherty
19.00
Cameron Dummigan
34.00
Kevin Santos
12.00
Aidan Keena
6.00
Chris Forrester
8.00
Jason McClelland
9.00
Jason Oyenuga
10.00
Jamie Lennon
15.00
Rhys Bartley
19.00
Romal Palmer
8.50
Zak Elbouzedi
12.00
Kian Leavy
19.00
Luke Turner
29.00
Tom Grivosti
29.00
Joe Redmond
34.00
Anthony Breslin
34.00
Simon Power
12.00
Patrick McClean
41.00
Henry Rylah
17.00
Kian Quigley
19.00
Callum Downey
19.00
Ryan Long
12.00
Gavin Whyte
9.50
Ciaran Mullan
29.00
James McClean
19.00
Dipo Akinyemi
8.50
Alex Bannon
34.00
Liam Boyce
8.00
James Brown
13.00
Ryan Edmondson
6.50
Max Mata
7.50
Darragh Nugent
12.00
Sean Hoare
26.00
Josh O'Connor
23.00
Rob Slevin
41.00
Glory Nzingo
7.50
Luke Kehir
10.00
Sam Rooney
12.00
Yssouf Soro
12.00
Ryan Sheridan
12.00
James Olayinka
23.00
Joshua Thomas
7.00
James McClean
29.00
Ryan Edmondson
19.00
Matthew O'Hara
4.50
Billy Canny
10.00
Billy Hayes
5.50
Barry Baggley
6.50
Ronan Boyce
5.50
Aidan Keena
2.88
Chris Forrester
3.60
Jason McClelland
4.00
Jason Oyenuga
4.50
Jamie Lennon
6.50
Rhys Bartley
8.00
Romal Palmer
3.75
Zak Elbouzedi
5.50
Kian Leavy
8.00
Luke Turner
12.00
Tom Grivosti
12.00
Joe Redmond
15.00
Anthony Breslin
15.00
Simon Power
5.50
Kian Quigley
8.00
James Brown
5.50
Ryan Edmondson
3.00
Max Mata
3.40
Darragh Nugent
5.50
Sean Hoare
11.00
Josh O'Connor
10.00
Glory Nzingo
3.40
Luke Kehir
4.50
Sam Rooney
5.50
Yssouf Soro
5.50
Ryan Sheridan
5.50
Matthew O'Hara
10.00
Billy Canny
23.00
Billy Hayes
12.00
Barry Baggley
15.00
Ronan Boyce
13.00
Aidan Keena
6.00
Chris Forrester
8.00
Jason McClelland
9.00
Jason Oyenuga
10.00
Jamie Lennon
15.00
Rhys Bartley
19.00
Romal Palmer
8.50
Zak Elbouzedi
12.00
Kian Leavy
19.00
Luke Turner
29.00
Tom Grivosti
29.00
Joe Redmond
34.00
Anthony Breslin
34.00
Simon Power
12.00
Kian Quigley
19.00
James Brown
13.00
Ryan Edmondson
6.50
Max Mata
7.50
Darragh Nugent
12.00
Sean Hoare
26.00
Josh O'Connor
23.00
Glory Nzingo
7.50
Luke Kehir
10.00
Sam Rooney
12.00
Yssouf Soro
12.00
Ryan Sheridan
12.00
Ryan Edmondson
12.00
Draw
2.30
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.60
Matthew O'Hara
10.00
Billy Canny
23.00
Billy Hayes
12.00
Barry Baggley
15.00
Ronan Boyce
13.00
Aidan Keena
6.00
Chris Forrester
8.00
Jason McClelland
9.00
Jason Oyenuga
10.00
Jamie Lennon
15.00
Rhys Bartley
19.00
Romal Palmer
8.50
Zak Elbouzedi
12.00
Kian Leavy
19.00
Luke Turner
29.00
Tom Grivosti
29.00
Joe Redmond
34.00
Anthony Breslin
34.00
Simon Power
12.00
Kian Quigley
19.00
James Brown
13.00
Ryan Edmondson
6.50
Max Mata
7.50
Darragh Nugent
12.00
Sean Hoare
26.00
Josh O'Connor
23.00
Glory Nzingo
7.50
Luke Kehir
10.00
Sam Rooney
12.00
Yssouf Soro
12.00
Ryan Sheridan
12.00
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Matthew O'Hara
10.00
Billy Canny
23.00
James Clarke
8.50
No Goalscorer
7.50
Carl Winchester
34.00
Brandon Fleming
34.00
Jamie Stott
41.00
Barry Cotter
29.00
Billy Hayes
12.00
Barry Baggley
15.00
Darragh Markey
15.00
Michael Duffy
10.00
Adam O'Reilly
17.00
Ronan Boyce
13.00
Conor Barr
19.00
Ben Doherty
19.00
Cameron Dummigan
34.00
Kevin Santos
12.00
Aidan Keena
6.00
Chris Forrester
8.00
Jason McClelland
9.00
Jason Oyenuga
10.00
Jamie Lennon
15.00
Rhys Bartley
19.00
Romal Palmer
8.50
Zak Elbouzedi
12.00
Kian Leavy
19.00
Luke Turner
29.00
Tom Grivosti
29.00
Joe Redmond
34.00
Anthony Breslin
34.00
Simon Power
12.00
Patrick McClean
41.00
Henry Rylah
17.00
Kian Quigley
19.00
Callum Downey
19.00
Ryan Long
12.00
Gavin Whyte
9.50
Ciaran Mullan
29.00
James McClean
19.00
Dipo Akinyemi
8.50
Alex Bannon
34.00
Liam Boyce
8.00
James Brown
13.00
Ryan Edmondson
6.50
Max Mata
7.50
Darragh Nugent
12.00
Sean Hoare
26.00
Josh O'Connor
23.00
Rob Slevin
41.00
Glory Nzingo
7.50
Luke Kehir
10.00
Sam Rooney
12.00
Yssouf Soro
12.00
Ryan Sheridan
12.00
James Olayinka
23.00
Joshua Thomas
7.00
Over 20.5
1.91
Under 20.5
1.80
Yes
13.00
No
1.04
Draw/Over 1.5
8.50
Away/Over 1.5
13.00
Home/Over 1.5
8.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.50
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
17.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.50
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.83
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.38
Under 10
1.83
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.40
Under 11
1.53
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.28
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
4.50
Under 12
1.30
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
7.00
Under 13
1.18
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
11.00
Under 14
1.10
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
19.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.05
Premier Division Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Bohemians
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 3. |
Shamrock Rovers
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 11 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
| 4. |
Shelbourne
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 5. |
Dundalk
|
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11:10 | +1 | 7 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 6. |
Derry City
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 7. |
Drogheda United
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 8. |
Galway United
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 9. |
Sligo Rovers
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 10. |
Waterford
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
St Patrick's Athl.
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 12
GA: 5
GD: +7
Derry City
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 9
GD: +0
Last 5 Matches
St Patrick's Athl.
13 Mar
H
Drogheda United
4-1
W
06 Mar
A
Shelbourne
3-2
W
Derry City
13 Mar
H
Shelbourne
1-2
L
06 Mar
A
Shamrock Rovers
0-1
L