🇲🇪 First League
· Regular Season - 24
FT
Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat - First League
Sutjeska
L
L
W
D
W
4 - 1
HT: 1-0
Arsenal Tivat
D
W
W
L
L
Stadion Gradski
Sut
2
·
Ars
1
Match Preview
A crucial match unfolds in the Montenegrin First League as league leaders Sutjeska host eighth-placed Arsenal Tivat in round 24. Sutjeska will be keen to solidify their position at the top, while Arsenal Tivat are aiming to climb away from the lower reaches of the table. A win for the home side would significantly strengthen their title aspirations, while Arsenal desperately need points to improve their standing.
Sutjeska's recent form has been patchy, with two draws, two losses, and only one win in their last five outings. Their home record, however, is formidable: nine wins, one draw, and only two losses. Arsenal Tivat also come into this game on the back of consecutive draws, but did manage two wins prior to that. Their away form is a major concern, with just one win, three draws, and seven losses on the road. They'll need a massive improvement to challenge Sutjeska at the Stadion Gradski.
The head-to-head record heavily favours Arsenal Tivat, who are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Sutjeska, winning three and drawing two. Despite this, the Elo-based win probability heavily tips the scales toward a Sutjeska victory. While Arsenal Tivat's historical dominance cannot be ignored, Sutjeska's strong home form and desire to maintain their lead at the top suggest they will be difficult to beat.
Sutjeska's recent form has been patchy, with two draws, two losses, and only one win in their last five outings. Their home record, however, is formidable: nine wins, one draw, and only two losses. Arsenal Tivat also come into this game on the back of consecutive draws, but did manage two wins prior to that. Their away form is a major concern, with just one win, three draws, and seven losses on the road. They'll need a massive improvement to challenge Sutjeska at the Stadion Gradski.
The head-to-head record heavily favours Arsenal Tivat, who are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Sutjeska, winning three and drawing two. Despite this, the Elo-based win probability heavily tips the scales toward a Sutjeska victory. While Arsenal Tivat's historical dominance cannot be ignored, Sutjeska's strong home form and desire to maintain their lead at the top suggest they will be difficult to beat.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
61%
1.65
high
BTTS
BTTS Yes
43%
2.51
low
CS
1-1
13%
8.31
medium
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HT/FT
1/1
25%
4.32
medium
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O/U
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
high
Match Info
Stadium
Stadion Gradski
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 24
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
80.6%
Win Probability
19.4%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Sutjeska or draw
Predicted winner: Sutjeska — Win or draw
Sutjeska
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Arsenal Tivat
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Match Events
16'
⚽
M. Mrvaljevic
35'
🟦
Yellow Card
41'
🟦
Yellow Card
53'
⚽
M. Simun
65'
⚽
V. Cavor
79'
🟦
Yellow Card
82'
⚽
P. Malisic
85'
⚽
A. Kecojevic
Head to Head
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
3 wins
2 draws
0 wins
2026-01-24
Sutjeska
3 - 0
Arsenal Tivat
HT: 2-0
2025-11-09
Arsenal Tivat
0 - 0
Sutjeska
HT: 0-0
2025-09-13
Sutjeska
2 - 0
Arsenal Tivat
HT: 0-0
2025-04-26
Arsenal Tivat
1 - 1
Sutjeska
HT: 0-1
2025-03-02
Sutjeska
2 - 0
Arsenal Tivat
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.65
Draw
3.50
Away
4.50
Home
2.20
Draw
2.05
Away
6.00
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Home -0.75
1.90
Away -0.75
1.90
Home -0.5
2.10
Away -0.5
1.70
Home -0.25
1.82
Away -0.25
1.98
Home/Draw
1.11
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.15
Home/Draw
1.11
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.62
1:0
5.50
2:0
6.50
2:1
11.00
3:0
11.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
21.00
4:1
34.00
0:0
7.00
1:1
8.00
2:2
23.00
0:1
12.00
0:2
26.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
41.00
2:3
51.00
3:3
81.00
4:2
67.00
5:0
41.00
5:1
51.00
6:0
67.00
1:0
3.50
2:0
8.50
2:1
23.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
51.00
4:0
51.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
10.00
2:2
81.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
34.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
41.00
Home
1.22
Away
4.00
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.85
Over 7.5
1.67
Under 7.5
2.10
Home
1.53
Draw
7.00
Away
3.20
Exactly 8
7.00
Over 8
2.20
Under 8
2.10
First League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Sutjeska
|
24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 42:26 | +16 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Mornar
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 32:26 | +6 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 3. |
Dečić
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
| 4. |
Petrovac
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35:23 | +12 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 5. |
Buducnost Podgorica
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:23 | +7 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 6. |
Jezero
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | +2 | 34 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 7. |
Mladost DG
|
24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 8. |
Arsenal Tivat
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 9. |
Bokelj
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 10. |
Jedinstvo
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 18:32 | -14 | 21 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
Sutjeska
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 38
GA: 25
GD: +13
Arsenal Tivat
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 21
GA: 29
GD: -8
Last 5 Matches
07 Mar
H
Bokelj
2-1
W
01 Mar
A
Jezero
1-1
D
07 Mar
H
Jezero
1-2
L
01 Mar
A
Petrovac
0-1
L