πΊπΈ Major League Soccer
· Regular season
FT
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls - Major League Soccer
BMO Field
·
Ref: Chris Penso, USA
Tor
1
·
New
2
AI Match Analysis
A crucial early-season clash sees Toronto FC host the New York Red Bulls at BMO Field. Both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the Eastern Conference standings, with Toronto aiming to bounce back from a shaky start and the Red Bulls seeking to maintain their positive momentum. A win for Toronto would pull them level on points, while a Red Bulls victory would further cement their place near the top of the table.
The contrasting form of these two sides is stark. Toronto FC has endured a difficult start, losing their last two matches and failing to secure a single point at home so far. Their recent results show defensive vulnerabilities, yet to be fully reflected in publicly available scores. Conversely, the New York Red Bulls arrive in Toronto riding high on the back of two consecutive wins. Their away form is also encouraging, having already secured a victory on the road. While their recent results include draws, the Red Bulls have demonstrated an ability to grind out results, something Toronto currently lacks.
Historically, encounters between these two teams have been closely contested. Toronto has a slight disadvantage in the last five head-to-head meetings, winning only once. While no specific injuries are mentioned, squad availability will undoubtedly play a role. Given the Red Bulls' superior form and Toronto's struggles, the visitors may be in a slightly better position to secure at least a point in this encounter, despite the home advantage suggested by the Elo ratings.
The contrasting form of these two sides is stark. Toronto FC has endured a difficult start, losing their last two matches and failing to secure a single point at home so far. Their recent results show defensive vulnerabilities, yet to be fully reflected in publicly available scores. Conversely, the New York Red Bulls arrive in Toronto riding high on the back of two consecutive wins. Their away form is also encouraging, having already secured a victory on the road. While their recent results include draws, the Red Bulls have demonstrated an ability to grind out results, something Toronto currently lacks.
Historically, encounters between these two teams have been closely contested. Toronto has a slight disadvantage in the last five head-to-head meetings, winning only once. While no specific injuries are mentioned, squad availability will undoubtedly play a role. Given the Red Bulls' superior form and Toronto's struggles, the visitors may be in a slightly better position to secure at least a point in this encounter, despite the home advantage suggested by the Elo ratings.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
43%
2.51
low
BTTS
BTTS Yes
31%
3.48
low
O/U
Under 2.5
60%
1.80
medium
Match Info
Stadium
BMO Field
Referee
Chris Penso, USA
Round
Regular season
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
54.21%
Win Probability
45.79%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or New York Red Bulls
Predicted winner: New York Red Bulls — Win or draw
Toronto FC
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
New York Red Bulls
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -1.5
Match Statistics
32%
Ball Possession
68%
10
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
7
4
Shots off Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
8
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
273
Total passes
562
188
Passes accurate
495
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Match Events
22'
🟦
M. Dos Santos
Yellow Card
32'
🟦
R. Voloder
Yellow Card
38'
🟦
J. Cifuentes
Yellow Card
43'
⚽
D. Salloi
46'
🔄
E. Aristizabal
(D. Kerr)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Z. Monlouis
(D. Etienne)
Substitution 2
66'
🔄
M. Sofo
(T. Rosborough)
Substitution 1
70'
🔄
J. Cifuentes
(J. Sargent)
Substitution 3
77'
🔄
R. Donkor
(E. M. Choupo-Moting)
Substitution 2
78'
🔄
M. Dos Santos
(O. Valencia)
Substitution 3
82'
🔄
R. Edwards
(K. Franklin)
Substitution 4
87'
🔄
D. Mihailovic
(A. Coello)
Substitution 5
90+3'
🔄
J. Che
(T. Parker)
Substitution 4
90+9'
⚽
E. M. Choupo-Moting
Player Ratings
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Malik Henry
-
-
-
-
-
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Andy Rojas
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
4-2-3-1
New York Red Bulls
Robin Fraser
Coach
Michael Bradley
3-4-3
10
MihailoviΔ
17
AristizΓ‘b.
20
SallΓ³i
22
Laryea
8
Cifuentes
21
Osorio
44
Edwards
12
Monlouis
25
Zimmerman
13
Kuscevic
1
Gavran
4-2-3-1
16
Hall
11
Ruvalcaba
10
Forsberg
37
Sofo
48
Donkor
15
Mehmeti
3
Marshall-.
2
Che
6
Voloder
56
Santos
34
Horvath
Starting XI
1
Luka Gavran
G
G
Ethan Horvath
34
12
Zane Monlouis
D
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
3
25
Walker Zimmerman
D
D
Justin Che
2
13
Benjamin Kuscevic
D
D
Robert Voloder
6
22
Richie Laryea
M
D
Matthew Dos Santos
56
8
JosΓ© Cifuentes
M
M
Ronald Donkor
48
21
Jonathan Osorio
M
M
Adri Mehmeti
15
44
Raheem Edwards
M
M
Jorge Ruvalcaba
11
10
ΔorΔe MihailoviΔ
F
M
Emil Forsberg
10
17
Emilio AristizΓ‘bal
F
M
Mohammed Sofo
37
20
DΓ‘niel SallΓ³i
F
F
Julian Hall
16
Substitutes
29
Deandre Kerr
Tanner Rosborough
66
11
Derrick Etienne Junior
John McCarthy
77
9
Josh Sargent
Omar Valencia
5
23
William Yarbrough
Tim Parker
26
76
Lazar Stefanovic
Juan Mina
20
19
Kobe Franklin
Gustav Berggren
4
6
Kosi Thompson
Rafael Mosquera
79
78
Malik Henry
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
13
14
Alonso Coello
Andy Rojas
70
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls
0
3
0 wins
2 draws
3 wins
2025-06-25
Toronto FC
1 - 1
New York Red Bulls
HT: 0-1
2025-03-22
New York Red Bulls
2 - 1
Toronto FC
HT: 1-0
2024-10-02
Toronto FC
1 - 4
New York Red Bulls
HT: 0-1
2024-07-28
New York Red Bulls
0 - 0
Toronto FC
HT: 0-0
2024-06-22
New York Red Bulls
3 - 0
Toronto FC
HT: 1-0
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
New York City FC
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | +8 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
Nashville SC
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
| 3. |
Inter Miami
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
New York Red Bulls
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
DC United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Charlotte
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
D
W
L
D
|
| 7. |
Chicago Fire
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
|
| 8. |
Toronto FC
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
|
| 9. |
New England Revolution
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
| 10. |
Atlanta United FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
|
| 11. |
FC Cincinnati
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
| 12. |
CF Montreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
| 13. |
Orlando City SC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Columbus Crew
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
|
| 15. |
Philadelphia Union
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | +13 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
Los Angeles FC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
San Diego
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | +8 | 10 |
D
W
W
W
|
| 4. |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | +5 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Seattle Sounders
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | +3 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
| 6. |
Real Salt Lake
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 |
W
W
W
L
|
| 7. |
Colorado Rapids
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
|
| 8. |
Houston Dynamo
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
| 9. |
FC Dallas
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
|
| 10. |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
L
L
W
D
|
| 11. |
Austin
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
L
L
W
D
|
| 12. |
Sporting Kansas City
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
|
| 13. |
Minnesota United FC
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
W
D
|
| 14. |
Portland Timbers
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
| 15. |
St. Louis City
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion
Season Form
Toronto FC
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 3
GA: 6
GD: -3
New York Red Bulls
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 3
GA: 4
GD: -1
Last 5 Matches
08 Mar
A
FC Cincinnati
1-0
W
01 Mar
A
Vancouver Whitecaps
0-3
L
08 Mar
H
CF Montreal
0-3
L
28 Feb
H
New England Revolution
1-0
W