🇰🇪 FKF Premier League
· Regular Season - 24
FT
Tusker vs Homeboyz - FKF Premier League
Police Sacco Stadium
AI Match Analysis
A crucial FKF Premier League clash unfolds as fourth-placed Homeboyz travel to face seventh-placed Tusker in this round 24 encounter. Homeboyz, sitting pretty with 38 points, have a chance to solidify their top-four aspirations and potentially close the gap on the leading pack. Meanwhile, Tusker, with 34 points, desperately need a win to resurrect their season and climb up the table, especially after a rather underwhelming campaign so far.
The form book suggests a tight affair. Tusker's home form is a major concern, having only secured three wins and suffering five losses at the Police Sacco Stadium. Homeboyz, in contrast, boast a solid away record with four wins and only three defeats on their travels. It's worth noting that Tusker have struggled for consistency this season, while Homeboyz have proven to be a difficult team to beat, demonstrated by their league-high eight draws. A trend for Homeboyz has been winning one match and then either drawing or losing the next match, but consistency is something they should strive for.
Historically, Tusker have found it tough against Homeboyz, failing to win any of their last five encounters, drawing three and losing two. While no specific injury news is available, team selection and player fitness will undoubtedly play a vital role. Although the Elo ratings give Homeboyz a significant edge, Tusker's need for points, combined with the unpredictable nature of the FKF Premier League, suggests that an upset is not entirely out of the question. Homeboyz will likely try to play a more defensive game to try to secure the draw in an away game.
The form book suggests a tight affair. Tusker's home form is a major concern, having only secured three wins and suffering five losses at the Police Sacco Stadium. Homeboyz, in contrast, boast a solid away record with four wins and only three defeats on their travels. It's worth noting that Tusker have struggled for consistency this season, while Homeboyz have proven to be a difficult team to beat, demonstrated by their league-high eight draws. A trend for Homeboyz has been winning one match and then either drawing or losing the next match, but consistency is something they should strive for.
Historically, Tusker have found it tough against Homeboyz, failing to win any of their last five encounters, drawing three and losing two. While no specific injury news is available, team selection and player fitness will undoubtedly play a vital role. Although the Elo ratings give Homeboyz a significant edge, Tusker's need for points, combined with the unpredictable nature of the FKF Premier League, suggests that an upset is not entirely out of the question. Homeboyz will likely try to play a more defensive game to try to secure the draw in an away game.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
53%
2.04
low
BTTS
BTTS No
65%
1.66
medium
O/U
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Police Sacco Stadium
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 24
Tusker
Homeboyz
62.78%
Win Probability
37.22%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Homeboyz
Predicted winner: Homeboyz — Win or draw
Tusker
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Homeboyz
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -2.5
Match Events
18'
⚽
J. Mwakasaba
39'
⚽
J. Mwakasaba
Head to Head
Homeboyz
1
1
1 wins
3 draws
1 wins
2025-11-02
Homeboyz
1 - 1
Tusker
HT: 0-0
2025-06-22
Homeboyz
0 - 0
Tusker
HT: 0-0
2024-09-22
Tusker
2 - 2
Homeboyz
HT: 2-1
2024-06-23
Tusker
1 - 0
Homeboyz
HT: 0-0
2024-03-30
Homeboyz
1 - 0
Tusker
HT: 1-0
FKF Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
GOR Mahia
|
23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 39:16 | +23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
AFC Leopards
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 31:18 | +13 | 43 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 3. |
Shabana
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | +5 | 40 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 4. |
Homeboyz
|
22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | +11 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 5. |
Police
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 20:16 | +4 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 6. |
Murang'a SEAL
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | +6 | 36 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Tusker
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 8. |
Nairobi United
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | +6 | 33 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 9. |
Bandari
|
24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
| 10. |
KCB
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 33 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 11. |
Mara Sugar
|
23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 12. |
Mathare United
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 21:23 | -2 | 29 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 13. |
Posta Rangers FC
|
24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 21:28 | -7 | 28 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 15. |
Bidco United
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
APS Bomet
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 17. |
Ulinzi Stars
|
23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 18. |
Sofapaka
|
24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15:34 | -19 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Champions League
Relegation
Season Form
Tusker
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 21
GA: 24
GD: -3
Homeboyz
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 34
GA: 23
GD: +11