🇰🇪 FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 24 FT

Tusker vs Homeboyz - FKF Premier League

Tusker Tusker
D L L W W
2 - 0
HT: 2-0
Homeboyz Homeboyz
D W W D W
Police Sacco Stadium

AI Match Analysis

A crucial FKF Premier League clash unfolds as fourth-placed Homeboyz travel to face seventh-placed Tusker in this round 24 encounter. Homeboyz, sitting pretty with 38 points, have a chance to solidify their top-four aspirations and potentially close the gap on the leading pack. Meanwhile, Tusker, with 34 points, desperately need a win to resurrect their season and climb up the table, especially after a rather underwhelming campaign so far.

The form book suggests a tight affair. Tusker's home form is a major concern, having only secured three wins and suffering five losses at the Police Sacco Stadium. Homeboyz, in contrast, boast a solid away record with four wins and only three defeats on their travels. It's worth noting that Tusker have struggled for consistency this season, while Homeboyz have proven to be a difficult team to beat, demonstrated by their league-high eight draws. A trend for Homeboyz has been winning one match and then either drawing or losing the next match, but consistency is something they should strive for.

Historically, Tusker have found it tough against Homeboyz, failing to win any of their last five encounters, drawing three and losing two. While no specific injury news is available, team selection and player fitness will undoubtedly play a vital role. Although the Elo ratings give Homeboyz a significant edge, Tusker's need for points, combined with the unpredictable nature of the FKF Premier League, suggests that an upset is not entirely out of the question. Homeboyz will likely try to play a more defensive game to try to secure the draw in an away game.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 53% 2.04 low
BTTS BTTS No 65% 1.66 medium
CS 1-0 16% 6.75 medium
CS 1-0 16% 6.75 medium
HT/FT 1/1 37% 2.92 medium
HT/FT 1/1 37% 2.92 medium
O/U Under 2.5 63% 1.71 medium

Match Info

Stadium
Police Sacco Stadium
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 24
Tusker Homeboyz
62.78% Win Probability 37.22%

Match Analysis

Double chance : draw or Homeboyz

Predicted winner: Homeboyz — Win or draw

Tusker 10.00%
Draw 45.00%
Homeboyz 45.00%
Expected goals: -1.5 - -2.5

Match Events

18'
J. Mwakasaba
39'
J. Mwakasaba

Head to Head

Tusker
Homeboyz
1
1
1 wins 3 draws 1 wins
2025-11-02
Homeboyz 1 - 1 Tusker
HT: 0-0
2025-06-22
Homeboyz 0 - 0 Tusker
HT: 0-0
2024-09-22
Tusker 2 - 2 Homeboyz
HT: 2-1
2024-06-23
Tusker 1 - 0 Homeboyz
HT: 0-0
2024-03-30
Homeboyz 1 - 0 Tusker
HT: 1-0

FKF Premier League Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
GOR Mahia
23 15 5 3 39:16 +23 50
D W W W W
2.
AFC Leopards
23 12 7 4 31:18 +13 43
L W L W D
3.
Shabana
23 11 7 5 28:23 +5 40
L W W W W
4.
Homeboyz
22 10 8 4 34:23 +11 38
W D W W D
5.
Police
24 9 10 5 20:16 +4 37
L W W D D
6.
Murang'a SEAL
23 10 6 7 31:25 +6 36
W L L W W
7.
Tusker
23 10 4 9 21:24 -3 34
W W L L D
8.
Nairobi United
21 9 6 6 27:21 +6 33
W D D W L
9.
Bandari
24 7 12 5 19:17 +2 33
D L D W D
10.
KCB
23 9 6 8 23:24 -1 33
D W L D W
11.
Mara Sugar
23 6 11 6 23:23 0 29
D W D W D
12.
Mathare United
24 8 5 11 21:23 -2 29
W L L D W
13.
Posta Rangers FC
24 6 10 8 21:28 -7 28
W D L L L
14.
Kariobangi Sharks
23 4 10 9 15:25 -10 22
L W D D W
15.
Bidco United
24 4 9 11 16:28 -12 21
D W D L L
16.
APS Bomet
24 4 8 12 24:33 -9 20
D L L D L
17.
Ulinzi Stars
23 4 7 12 19:26 -7 19
L D L D L
18.
Sofapaka
24 3 5 16 15:34 -19 14
L L L L L
Champions League
Relegation

Season Form

Tusker
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 21 GA: 24 GD: -3
Homeboyz
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 34 GA: 23 GD: +11

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