🇵🇹 Segunda Liga
· Regular Season - 26
FT
União de Leiria vs Maritimo - Segunda Liga
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
·
Ref: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Uni
6
·
Mar
3
AI Match Analysis
A fascinating clash awaits in the Segunda Liga as fifth-placed União de Leiria welcomes league leaders Maritimo in Round 26. With Maritimo looking to consolidate their position at the top and Leiria aiming to close the gap on the promotion playoff spots, this fixture at the Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa promises high stakes. A win for the home side would significantly boost their chances of a top-five finish, while Maritimo needs the points to fend off increasing pressure from below.
Leiria's recent form is decent with two wins, a loss and a couple of draws in their last five matches, coupled with a solid home record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses. However, they have drawn their most recent match against Leixoes. Maritimo, despite leading the league, have been somewhat inconsistent, mirroring Leiria's recent form with two wins, a loss, and two draws, including two consecutive draws in their last two games against Academico Viseu and FC Porto B. Their away record is impressive though, boasting 9 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 losses, suggesting they travel well.
Historically, União de Leiria holds a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five meetings against Maritimo, with one draw and one loss. The home side's historical dominance combined with Maritimo's recent slip-ups indicates that Leiria might just be able to upset the league leaders. While the Elo ratings heavily favor a home win, Maritimo's strong away form cannot be discounted entirely and should make for a tense affair.
Leiria's recent form is decent with two wins, a loss and a couple of draws in their last five matches, coupled with a solid home record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses. However, they have drawn their most recent match against Leixoes. Maritimo, despite leading the league, have been somewhat inconsistent, mirroring Leiria's recent form with two wins, a loss, and two draws, including two consecutive draws in their last two games against Academico Viseu and FC Porto B. Their away record is impressive though, boasting 9 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 losses, suggesting they travel well.
Historically, União de Leiria holds a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five meetings against Maritimo, with one draw and one loss. The home side's historical dominance combined with Maritimo's recent slip-ups indicates that Leiria might just be able to upset the league leaders. While the Elo ratings heavily favor a home win, Maritimo's strong away form cannot be discounted entirely and should make for a tense affair.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
40%
2.38
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
37%
1.83
low
O/U
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Referee
Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Round
Regular Season - 26
União de Leiria
Maritimo
61.34%
Win Probability
38.66%
Match Analysis
Double chance : União de Leiria or draw
Predicted winner: União de Leiria — Win or draw
União de Leiria
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Maritimo
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
0
Ball Possession
0
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
0
0
Corner Kicks
0
0
Fouls
0
6
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
0
0
Total passes
0
0
Passes accurate
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Match Events
9'
🟦
Marcelo
Yellow Card
22'
🟦
J. van der Gaag
Yellow Card
24'
⚽
A. Butzke
(M. Tejon)
31'
⚽
Ze Pedro
(P. Fernandez)
36'
🟦
Joao Bravim
Yellow Card
41'
⚽
S. Bouzaidi
(S. Bouzaidi)
Missed Penalty
41'
⚽
S. Bouzaidi
44'
🟦
Daniel Borges
Yellow Card
50'
🟦
P. Henrique
Yellow Card
57'
🔄
Marcelo
(V. G. Rofino)
Substitution 1
57'
🔄
M. Pires
(E. Kouassi)
Substitution 2
66'
🟦
V. G. Rofino
Yellow Card
73'
🟦
N. Madsen
Yellow Card
79'
🔄
Daniel Borges
(D. Martins)
Substitution 3
79'
🔄
J. van der Gaag
(J. Santos)
Substitution 4
82'
🔄
M. Tejon
(F. T. Gomes Aguiar)
Substitution 1
82'
🔄
Carlos Daniel
(Xavi Grande)
Substitution 2
88'
🔄
Ze Pedro
(Lucho Vega)
Substitution 5
89'
🔄
P. Henrique
(A. Freitas)
Substitution 3
90'
🔄
A. Butzke
(P. Borukov)
Substitution 4
90+2'
🟦
Maga
Yellow Card
90+3'
🔄
Igor Juliao
(E. A. Santos Junior)
Substitution 5
90+4'
🟦
Samu
Yellow Card
Lineups
União de Leiria
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
Maritimo
Fabio Pereira
Coach
Miguel Moita
4-2-3-1
9
Muñoz
19
Fernández
10
Gaag
11
Silva
21
Pires
41
Borges
68
Maga
44
Marcelo
16
Pedro
3
Baró
98
Victor
4-2-3-1
3
Butzke
10
Tejón
28
Daniel
21
Bouzaidi
98
Guirassy
14
Guzzo
2
Julião
5
Madsen
44
Correia
23
Henrique
12
Silva
Starting XI
98
João Victor
G
G
Samuel Silva
12
68
Maga
D
D
Igor Julião
2
44
Marcelo
D
D
Noah Madsen
5
16
José Pedro
D
D
Romain Correia
44
3
Marc Baró
D
D
Paulo Henrique
23
21
Miguel Pires
M
M
Ibrahima Guirassy
98
41
Daniel Borges
M
M
Raphael Guzzo
14
19
Pablo Fernández
F
M
Martín Tejón
10
10
Jordan van der Gaag
M
M
Carlos Daniel
28
11
Jair da Silva
M
M
Simo Bouzaidi
21
9
Juan Muñoz
F
F
Adrián Butzke
3
Substitutes
5
Victor Rofino
Alfonso Pastor
1
8
Kouassi Eboue
Afonso Freitas
25
99
Jakob Odehnal
Rodrigo Andrade
6
15
João Silva
Marco Cruz
8
52
Habib Sylla
Francisco Gomes
20
17
Lucho Vega
Enrique Peña Zauner
7
20
Bernardo Martim Aguiar Gomes
José Melro
9
88
Diogo Martins
Preslav Borukov
90
Head to Head
União de Leiria
Maritimo
3
1
3 wins
1 draws
1 wins
2025-10-30
Maritimo
1 - 3
União de Leiria
HT: 1-0
2025-02-22
Maritimo
1 - 2
União de Leiria
HT: 0-0
2024-09-29
União de Leiria
1 - 1
Maritimo
HT: 0-1
2024-03-16
Maritimo
2 - 0
União de Leiria
HT: 1-0
2024-01-10
Maritimo
0 - 3
União de Leiria
HT: 0-2
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.75
Draw
3.20
Away
2.38
Home
3.60
Draw
2.05
Away
3.20
Home
3.10
Draw
2.30
Away
2.75
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.67
Over 3.5
3.75
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
8.50
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.83
No
1.83
Yes
5.00
No
1.17
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
5.75
Away -1.25
1.14
Home -1
5.25
Away -1
1.16
Home -0.75
3.45
Away -0.75
1.30
Home -0.5
2.75
Away -0.5
1.42
Home -0.25
2.38
Away -0.25
1.55
Home +0
2.05
Away +0
1.75
Home +0.25
1.72
Away +0.25
2.08
Home +0.5
1.55
Away +0.5
2.38
Home +0.75
1.40
Away +0.75
2.85
Home +1
1.23
Away +1
4.00
Home -1.5
6.25
Away -1.5
1.12
Home +1.25
1.19
Away +1.25
4.50
Home +1.5
1.17
Away +1.5
5.00
Home +1.75
1.10
Away +1.75
6.80
Home -0.75
5.00
Away -0.75
1.17
Home -0.5
3.45
Away -0.5
1.30
Home -0.25
2.75
Away -0.25
1.42
Home +0
2.02
Away +0
1.78
Home +0.25
1.52
Away +0.25
2.42
Home +0.5
1.35
Away +0.5
3.10
Home +0.75
1.21
Away +0.75
4.25
Home/Draw
1.50
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.36
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.28
1:0
8.00
2:0
13.00
2:1
11.00
3:0
29.00
3:1
23.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
8.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
15.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
11.00
0:3
23.00
1:2
10.00
1:3
21.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
41.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
126.00
0:6
351.00
1:5
101.00
1:6
351.00
2:5
151.00
3:4
126.00
5:0
151.00
5:1
151.00
5:2
201.00
4:3
126.00
3:5
351.00
5:3
301.00
4:4
301.00
1:0
4.75
2:0
17.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
81.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
251.00
4:1
351.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
4.50
0:2
13.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
23.00
1:3
67.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
151.00
1:4
301.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
6.00
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
4.75
Draw/Home
6.50
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
4.00
Home
2.00
Away
1.73
Home/Yes
6.00
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
5.50
Home/No
4.50
Draw/No
8.50
Away/No
4.00
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.50
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.60
Over 2.25
1.90
Under 2.25
1.90
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.68
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.90
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
7.00
Over 2
1.60
Under 2
2.30
Over 3
3.10
Under 3
1.35
Over 4
7.00
Under 4
1.10
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
4.00
Over 4.5
7.00
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.00
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 4.25
6.60
Under 4.25
1.11
Over 1.5
3.10
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 1.75
4.15
Under 1.75
1.22
Over 2.25
7.00
Under 2.25
1.10
Over 1
2.08
Under 1
1.72
Over 2
7.00
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.45
Under 0.5
2.68
Over 0.75
1.65
Under 0.75
2.20
Over 1.25
2.60
Under 1.25
1.48
Home -1
6.50
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
4.50
Home -2
15.00
Draw -2
8.50
Away -2
1.10
Home +1
1.50
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
5.00
Home +2
1.14
Draw +2
7.00
Away +2
12.00
Home +3
1.03
Draw +3
17.00
Away +3
29.00
Home -1
13.00
Away -1
1.28
Draw -1
4.00
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
3.75
Away +1
11.00
Home +2
1.04
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
41.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
51.00
Away +3
201.00
Over 9.5
1.83
Under 9.5
1.83
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.95
Under 4
2.62
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.80
Home +0.5
1.90
Away +0.5
1.90
Home +1
1.83
Draw +1
8.00
Away +1
2.25
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 4.5
1.80
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.25
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
6.50
Over 4.5
1.67
Under 4.5
2.10
Home
4.50
Away
4.00
Home
11.00
Away
9.00
Home
2.00
Away
1.80
Home
13.00
Away
11.00
Home
2.10
Draw
8.50
Away
1.91
Home
2.10
Draw
8.50
Away
1.91
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
4.50
Away
4.00
Home/Over 2.5
5.00
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
4.33
Home/Under 2.5
5.50
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
4.75
1 by 1
4.50
2 by 1
4.00
1 by 4+
41.00
1 by 2
8.50
2 by 2
7.00
1 by 3
21.00
2 by 3
17.00
2 by 4+
29.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.25
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Home
4.50
Away
3.40
Draw
1.67
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.10
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
10.00
Over
1.62
Under
2.20
Home
9.00
Draw
1.14
Away
8.50
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 20.5
1.91
Under 20.5
1.80
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
8.50
Home/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.75
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
4.50
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.50
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.83
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.38
Under 10
1.83
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.25
Under 11
1.53
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.28
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
4.50
Under 12
1.33
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
6.50
Under 13
1.18
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
10.00
Under 14
1.11
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
19.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.06
Segunda Liga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Maritimo
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:20 | +20 | 50 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 2. |
Academico Viseu
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 47:28 | +19 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Torreense
|
25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 31:27 | +4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 4. |
Sporting CP B
|
26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37:25 | +12 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 5. |
União de Leiria
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:32 | +6 | 38 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 6. |
Vizela
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31:28 | +3 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 7. |
FC Porto B
|
25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 8. |
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 9. |
Chaves
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 29:24 | +5 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 10. |
Benfica B
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:32 | +4 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 11. |
Feirense
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12. |
Leixoes
|
26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 13. |
Felgueiras 1932
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 14. |
Pacos Ferreira
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 15. |
Penafiel
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 29 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 16. |
Farense
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
| 17. |
Oliveirense
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 18. |
Portimonense
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
União de Leiria
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 38
GA: 32
GD: +6
Maritimo
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 40
GA: 20
GD: +20
Last 5 Matches
União de Leiria
08 Mar
A
Leixoes
4-1
W
Maritimo
08 Mar
H
FC Porto B
2-1
W
01 Mar
A
Academico Viseu
1-3
L