🇪🇸 Primera División RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 28
HT
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Barakaldo - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Reina Sofia
AI Match Analysis
A mid-table clash in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 sees Unionistas de Salamanca host Barakaldo on matchday 28. Both teams are vying for a strong finish to the season, with Barakaldo currently sitting in 7th place with 40 points, just above Unionistas in 12th with 38 points. A win for either side would provide a significant boost and potentially propel them closer to the playoff conversation.
Unionistas enter the match with slightly better recent form, recording two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings, while Barakaldo have a more mixed bag of one win, two draws, and two losses. Unionistas' home form is respectable, with six wins and five draws from thirteen matches at the Reina Sofia. However, Barakaldo's away record is considerably weaker, managing only one win and seven draws in thirteen games on the road. Recent results show both teams are struggling to convert draws into wins, after both sides drew their respective previous matches.
Historically, Barakaldo holds a significant advantage in head-to-head encounters, winning all of the last five meetings against Unionistas. The available Elo-based win probability gives Unionistas a 59% chance of victory at home, despite their poor record against Barakaldo. Given Unionistas' solid home form and Barakaldo's struggles on the road, coupled with the desire to overturn their historical disadvantage, a narrow Unionistas victory seems plausible, though the draw is a very real possibility given the recent stalemates.
Unionistas enter the match with slightly better recent form, recording two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings, while Barakaldo have a more mixed bag of one win, two draws, and two losses. Unionistas' home form is respectable, with six wins and five draws from thirteen matches at the Reina Sofia. However, Barakaldo's away record is considerably weaker, managing only one win and seven draws in thirteen games on the road. Recent results show both teams are struggling to convert draws into wins, after both sides drew their respective previous matches.
Historically, Barakaldo holds a significant advantage in head-to-head encounters, winning all of the last five meetings against Unionistas. The available Elo-based win probability gives Unionistas a 59% chance of victory at home, despite their poor record against Barakaldo. Given Unionistas' solid home form and Barakaldo's struggles on the road, coupled with the desire to overturn their historical disadvantage, a narrow Unionistas victory seems plausible, though the draw is a very real possibility given the recent stalemates.
Our Predictions
1X2
X
34%
3.00
low
BTTS
BTTS Yes
28%
2.20
low
O/U
Under 2.5
62%
1.50
high
Match Info
Stadium
Reina Sofia
Referee
-
Round
Group 1 - 28
Unionistas de Salamanca
Barakaldo
58.61%
Win Probability
41.39%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Unionistas de Salamanca or draw
Predicted winner: Unionistas de Salamanca — Win or draw
Unionistas de Salamanca
35.00%
Draw
35.00%
Barakaldo
30.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Head to Head
Unionistas de Salamanca
Barakaldo
2
3
2 wins
0 draws
3 wins
2026-01-03
Barakaldo
5 - 0
Unionistas de Salamanca
HT: 4-0
2025-02-23
Barakaldo
3 - 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
HT: 2-0
2024-11-30
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 - 0
Barakaldo
HT: 0-0
2020-01-15
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 - 0
Barakaldo
HT: 0-0
2019-08-24
Barakaldo
2 - 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.35
Draw
3.00
Away
2.90
Home
3.10
Draw
1.91
Away
3.75
Home
2.88
Draw
2.20
Away
3.25
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.50
Over 3.5
4.50
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
6.50
Over 4.5
8.50
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
8.50
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.20
No
1.62
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home -1.25
4.40
Away -1.25
1.20
Home -1
3.90
Away -1
1.24
Home -0.75
2.85
Away -0.75
1.40
Home -0.5
2.35
Away -0.5
1.58
Home -0.25
2.05
Away -0.25
1.75
Home +0
1.68
Away +0
2.15
Home +0.25
1.48
Away +0.25
2.60
Home +0.5
1.38
Away +0.5
3.00
Home +0.75
1.25
Away +0.75
3.80
Home +1
1.13
Away +1
5.90
Home -1.75
6.80
Away -1.75
1.10
Home -1.5
5.00
Away -1.5
1.17
Home +1.25
1.12
Away +1.25
6.40
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home -0.75
4.40
Away -0.75
1.20
Home -0.5
3.10
Away -0.5
1.35
Home -0.25
2.42
Away -0.25
1.52
Home +0
1.72
Away +0
2.08
Home +0.25
1.38
Away +0.25
3.00
Home +0.5
1.25
Away +0.5
3.80
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.50
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.36
1:0
6.50
2:0
10.00
2:1
11.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
23.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
6.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
19.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
13.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
101.00
4:2
81.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
126.00
5:2
151.00
4:3
151.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
15.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
81.00
4:0
151.00
0:0
2.38
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
5.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
34.00
1:3
101.00
Home/Draw
17.00
Home/Away
41.00
Draw/Away
6.50
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
4.00
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
5.00
Home
1.67
Away
2.10
Home/Yes
6.50
Draw/Yes
5.00
Away/Yes
7.50
Home/No
3.50
Draw/No
6.50
Away/No
4.33
o/yes 2.5
3.00
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
1.83
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
6.50
1
3.60
2
3.40
3
4.75
4
8.00
5
17.00
6
41.00
more 7
21.00
0
2.38
1
2.50
2
5.00
3
13.00
4
41.00
more 5
101.00
0
3.00
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.50
4
26.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 1.75
1.65
Under 1.75
2.20
Over 2.25
2.20
Under 2.25
1.65
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.50
Over 2.75
3.00
Under 2.75
1.38
Over 3.5
5.00
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 1
1.15
Under 1
5.50
Over 2
1.95
Under 2
1.85
Over 3
4.00
Under 3
1.23
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
6.00
Over 1.25
1.32
Under 1.25
3.30
Over 3.25
4.40
Under 3.25
1.20
Over 3.75
6.40
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 1.5
3.55
Under 1.5
1.27
Over 1.75
5.00
Under 1.75
1.17
Over 1
2.38
Under 1
1.55
Over 0.75
1.80
Under 0.75
2.00
Over 1.25
3.00
Under 1.25
1.38
Home -1
5.00
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
29.00
Draw -3
17.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
11.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.14
Home +1
1.30
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
7.00
Home +2
1.08
Draw +2
10.00
Away +2
19.00
Home -1
11.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
301.00
Draw -3
51.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
13.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
15.00
Over 8.5
1.90
Under 8.5
1.90
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
12.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
21.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
7.00
Over 1.5
3.50
Under 1.5
1.28
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.75
more 3
8.00
Home
3.50
Away
4.33
Home
10.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.83
Away
2.10
Home
13.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.95
Draw
6.50
Away
2.25
Home
1.95
Draw
6.50
Away
2.25
Draw
3.10
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.20
Home
4.50
Away
6.00
Home/Over 2.5
5.00
Draw/Over 2.5
19.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.33
Draw/Under 2.5
3.50
Away/Under 2.5
5.00
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
4.33
1 by 4+
29.00
1 by 2
7.00
2 by 2
9.50
1 by 3
17.00
2 by 3
23.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
5.00
Draw
6.50
Draw
1.95
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.62
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
12.00
Home/Over 1.5
9.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
2.38
Away/Under 1.5
5.00
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Tenerife
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | +32 | 60 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 2. |
Celta de Vigo II
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | +8 | 50 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 3. |
Pontevedra
|
27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | +12 | 42 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 4. |
Zamora
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | +5 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 5. |
Lugo
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 27:23 | +4 | 42 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 6. |
Racing Ferrol
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
Barakaldo
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 35:29 | +6 | 40 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 8. |
Athletic Club II
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 40 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 9. |
Mérida AD
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 10. |
Real Madrid II
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
| 11. |
Ponferradina
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 28:23 | +5 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 12. |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:33 | +4 | 38 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 13. |
Arenas Getxo
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Ourense CF
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 15. |
Real Avilés
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
Guadalajara
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 17. |
CF Talavera
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 29 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 18. |
Cacereño
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 19. |
Arenteiro
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 20. |
Osasuna II
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 18:32 | -14 | 24 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
Promotion
Relegation
Season Form
Unionistas de Salamanca
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 37
GA: 33
GD: +4
Barakaldo
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 35
GA: 29
GD: +6
Last 5 Matches
Unionistas de Salamanca
08 Mar
A
Pontevedra
0-0
D
Barakaldo
08 Mar
H
Ourense CF
1-0
W
01 Mar
A
Arenas Getxo
1-2
L