🇯🇵 J1 League
· Regular Season - 6
NS
V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka - J1 League
Peace Stadium
AI Match Analysis
A tight J1 League encounter sees 9th-placed V-varen Nagasaki host 10th-placed Avispa Fukuoka in Round 6. Both sides are looking to solidify their position in the mid-table and avoid getting dragged into an early relegation battle. Three points here would be invaluable for either team, especially for Fukuoka who are desperate to kickstart their season.
Nagasaki's form is patchy, alternating between wins and losses, most recently drawing against Gamba Osaka. Their home form offers some encouragement, with one win and one loss in their two games at Peace Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka, conversely, are struggling, having lost three of their last five. Their away form is equally concerning, losing both their away fixtures so far. The stalemate against Nagoya Grampus will give them some confidence coming into this clash.
Head-to-head records show a balanced affair, with both teams claiming two wins and one draw in their last five meetings. The Elo model heavily favors a home win, giving Nagasaki a significant 74.76% probability. Considering Fukuoka's poor away form and Nagasaki's slight edge at home, expect a closely contested match. The data indicates a likely victory for the home side.
Nagasaki's form is patchy, alternating between wins and losses, most recently drawing against Gamba Osaka. Their home form offers some encouragement, with one win and one loss in their two games at Peace Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka, conversely, are struggling, having lost three of their last five. Their away form is equally concerning, losing both their away fixtures so far. The stalemate against Nagoya Grampus will give them some confidence coming into this clash.
Head-to-head records show a balanced affair, with both teams claiming two wins and one draw in their last five meetings. The Elo model heavily favors a home win, giving Nagasaki a significant 74.76% probability. Considering Fukuoka's poor away form and Nagasaki's slight edge at home, expect a closely contested match. The data indicates a likely victory for the home side.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
46%
2.15
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
37%
1.91
low
O/U
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Peace Stadium
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 6
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
74.76%
Win Probability
25.24%
Match Analysis
Double chance : V-varen Nagasaki or draw
Predicted winner: V-varen Nagasaki — Win or draw
V-varen Nagasaki
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Avispa Fukuoka
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Takuya Takagi
Coach
Shinya Tsukahara
3-4-2-1
9
Santana
10
Jesus
11
Campbell
22
Onaga
5
Yamaguchi
34
Matsumoto
23
Yoneda
48
Teruyama
25
Kushibiki
6
Egawa
1
Goto
3-4-2-1
13
Khalifa
14
Nago
25
Kitajima
2
Yuzawa
6
Shigemi
17
Akino
29
Maejima
3
Nara
37
Tashiro
16
Oka
24
Obata
Starting XI
1
Masaaki Goto
G
G
Yuma Obata
24
48
Hayato Teruyama
D
D
Tatsuki Nara
3
25
Kazuki Kushibiki
D
D
Masaya Tashiro
37
6
Yusei Egawa
D
D
Teppei Oka
16
22
Hijiri Onaga
M
M
Masato Yuzawa
2
5
Hotaru Yamaguchi
M
M
Masato Shigemi
6
34
Tenmu Matsumoto
M
M
Hiroki Akino
17
23
Shunya Yoneda
M
M
Yota Maejima
29
10
Matheus Jesus
F
F
Shintaro Nago
14
11
Norman Campbell
F
F
Yuji Kitajima
25
9
Thiago Santana
F
F
Nassim Ben Khalifa
13
Substitutes
33
Tsubasa Kasayanagi
Yu Hashimoto
47
8
Yuto Iwasaki
Kohei Okuno
8
4
Eduardo Giusti
Sonosuke Sato
18
24
Riku Yamada
Kazuki Fujimoto
22
18
Ryogo Yamasaki
Hanan Saniburaun
32
13
Go Hatano
Kazuki Fujita
41
41
Motoki Hasegawa
Kaoru Yamawaki
33
19
Takashi Sawada
Yutaka Michiwaki
27
21
Diego Pituca
Reiju Tsuruno
28
Head to Head
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2022-07-13
Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 0
V-varen Nagasaki
HT: 1-0
2020-09-27
V-varen Nagasaki
1 - 3
Avispa Fukuoka
HT: 0-1
2020-07-04
Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 2
V-varen Nagasaki
HT: 0-0
2019-09-07
V-varen Nagasaki
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka
HT: 0-0
2019-03-02
Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 0
V-varen Nagasaki
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.15
Draw
3.30
Away
3.40
Home
2.88
Draw
2.10
Away
4.00
Home
2.50
Draw
2.30
Away
3.40
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.67
Over 3.5
3.75
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.91
No
1.91
Yes
5.00
No
1.17
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
3.80
Away -1.25
1.25
Home -1
3.45
Away -1
1.30
Home -0.75
2.50
Away -0.75
1.50
Home -0.5
2.15
Away -0.5
1.68
Home -0.25
1.85
Away -0.25
1.95
Home +0
1.55
Away +0
2.38
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.32
Away +0.5
3.30
Home +0.75
1.21
Away +0.75
4.25
Home +1
1.11
Away +1
6.60
Home -1.75
5.75
Away -1.75
1.14
Home -1.5
4.25
Away -1.5
1.21
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
7.00
Home -0.75
3.80
Away -0.75
1.25
Home -0.5
2.85
Away -0.5
1.40
Home -0.25
2.25
Away -0.25
1.62
Home +0
1.62
Away +0
2.25
Home +0.25
1.35
Away +0.25
3.10
Home +0.5
1.24
Away +0.5
3.90
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home/Draw
1.33
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.67
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.40
1:0
7.00
2:0
10.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
21.00
3:1
19.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
8.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
9.50
0:2
17.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
251.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
251.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
101.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
151.00
6:0
301.00
6:1
301.00
6:2
451.00
4:3
101.00
3:5
501.00
5:3
301.00
4:4
301.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
12.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
126.00
4:1
251.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
19.00
0:3
67.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
301.00
1:4
501.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
7.00
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
3.60
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.50
Home
1.53
Away
2.38
Home/Yes
4.75
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
7.00
Home/No
3.50
Draw/No
8.50
Away/No
5.50
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
11.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.50
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
26.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
7.50
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.45
Under 1.75
2.68
Over 2.25
1.88
Under 2.25
1.92
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.68
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.80
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
7.00
Over 2
1.60
Under 2
2.30
Over 3
3.10
Under 3
1.35
Over 4
7.00
Under 4
1.10
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
4.00
Over 3.25
3.45
Under 3.25
1.30
Over 3.75
5.00
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 1.5
3.10
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 1.75
4.15
Under 1.75
1.22
Over 1
2.08
Under 1
1.72
Over 2
7.00
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.45
Under 0.5
2.68
Over 0.75
1.65
Under 0.75
2.20
Over 1.25
2.60
Under 1.25
1.48
Home -1
4.33
Away -1
1.67
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
26.00
Draw -3
15.00
Away -3
1.05
Home -2
10.00
Draw -2
6.50
Away -2
1.20
Home +1
1.33
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
8.00
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
11.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
9.00
Away -1
1.40
Draw -1
3.50
Home -3
126.00
Draw -3
41.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
34.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
15.00
Over 9
1.80
Under 9
2.00
Over 9.5
2.00
Under 9.5
1.73
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.75
Under 4
2.05
Home +0
1.80
Away +0
2.00
Home -1
2.40
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
41.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.75
1
2.60
2
3.60
more 3
5.50
Over 4.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.83
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
0
2.62
1
2.40
2
4.50
more 3
10.00
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.73
Home
3.50
Away
5.50
Home
7.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.67
Away
2.20
Home
10.00
Away
15.00
Home
1.80
Draw
8.50
Away
2.30
Home
1.80
Draw
8.50
Away
2.30
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.75
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
3.75
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.50
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
6.50
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
5.00
1 by 4+
26.00
1 by 2
6.50
2 by 2
11.00
1 by 3
15.00
2 by 3
26.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Home
3.75
Away
4.50
Draw
1.57
Under 6
8.00
6 - 8
2.88
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
4.75
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
7.50
Draw
1.14
Away
9.50
Shot
1.50
Header
6.50
Penalty
7.50
FreeKick
23.00
OwnGoal
29.00
Draw
8.50
Draw
2.30
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 18.5
1.83
Under 18.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Over 1.5
7.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Home
19.00
Away
23.00
Home
7.00
Away
9.00
Exactly 4
19.00
Over 4
1.03
Under 4
23.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.08
Under 5
15.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.62
Under 8
3.25
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.00
Under 9
2.20
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.62
Under 10
1.73
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
3.75
Under 11
1.44
Exactly 7
8.50
Over 7
1.33
Under 7
4.50
Exactly 12
11.00
Over 12
5.50
Under 12
1.25
Exactly 6
10.00
Over 6
1.18
Under 6
8.00
Exactly 13
13.00
Over 13
8.00
Under 13
1.14
Exactly 14
17.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.08
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
21.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
21.00
Over 15
15.00
Under 15
1.04
J1 League Standings
East
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Kashima
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
FC Tokyo
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Machida Zelvia
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4. |
Tokyo Verdy
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 5. |
Urawa
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 6. |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 7 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7. |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Mito Hollyhock
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
JEF United Chiba
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10. |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
West
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Vissel Kobe
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 11 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Gamba Osaka
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 4. |
Kyoto Sanga
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Cerezo Osaka
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 6. |
Nagoya Grampus
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 7. |
Fagiano Okayama
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 8. |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 9. |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10. |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
Promotion
Season Form
V-varen Nagasaki
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 7
GA: 9
GD: -2
Avispa Fukuoka
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
GF: 4
GA: 12
GD: -8
Last 5 Matches
V-varen Nagasaki
08 Mar
A
Gamba Osaka
2-3
L
Avispa Fukuoka
07 Mar
H
Nagoya Grampus
1-5
L