🇧🇦 Cup
· Quarter-finals
FT
Velež vs FK Sarajevo - Cup
Velež
W
W
W
4 - 1
HT: 2-1
FK Sarajevo
W
W
L
Stadion Rodjeni
Vel
4
·
FK
2
Match Preview
A place in the Bosnian Cup semi-finals is up for grabs as Velež Mostar host FK Sarajevo at the Stadion Rođeni. With both sides desperate for silverware, this quarter-final clash promises to be a tightly contested affair. The stakes are high, with the winner moving one step closer to lifting the coveted trophy and securing a potential route to European competition.
Sarajevo enters the match with superior recent form, boasting four wins in their last five outings, only stumbling in their last match. Velež, meanwhile, presents a more inconsistent picture, alternating wins and losses in their recent games. A recent draw for both teams indicates a lack of sharpness at the end of the season, but Sarajevo have the confidence after a great streak, which makes them slight favorites.
The head-to-head record between these two sides is remarkably balanced, with each team claiming one win and three draws in their last five encounters, suggesting a closely matched rivalry. While no specific injury information is available, the slightly more consistent form of Sarajevo, coupled with Velež's home advantage and the balanced head-to-head, points towards a very tight contest, possibly decided by a single moment of brilliance or a stroke of luck. Given the extremely close Elo rating indicating a Velež advantage, we could be in for a shock result.
Sarajevo enters the match with superior recent form, boasting four wins in their last five outings, only stumbling in their last match. Velež, meanwhile, presents a more inconsistent picture, alternating wins and losses in their recent games. A recent draw for both teams indicates a lack of sharpness at the end of the season, but Sarajevo have the confidence after a great streak, which makes them slight favorites.
The head-to-head record between these two sides is remarkably balanced, with each team claiming one win and three draws in their last five encounters, suggesting a closely matched rivalry. While no specific injury information is available, the slightly more consistent form of Sarajevo, coupled with Velež's home advantage and the balanced head-to-head, points towards a very tight contest, possibly decided by a single moment of brilliance or a stroke of luck. Given the extremely close Elo rating indicating a Velež advantage, we could be in for a shock result.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
43%
2.30
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
41%
2.63
low
CS
1-1
14%
7.71
medium
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HT/FT
1/1
17%
6.35
medium
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O/U
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
high
Match Info
Stadium
Stadion Rodjeni
Referee
-
Round
Quarter-finals
Velež
FK Sarajevo
72.96%
Win Probability
27.04%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : Velež or draw and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Velež — Win or draw
Velež
35.00%
Draw
35.00%
FK Sarajevo
30.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Events
13'
⚽
Joao Carlos
(L. Menalo)
26'
🟦
S. Meite
Yellow Card
33'
⚽
A. Spahic
(D. Salcin)
36'
🟦
M. Kupresak
Yellow Card
38'
⚽
A. Nukic
46'
🔄
S. Meite
(R. Telalovic)
Substitution 1
60'
⚽
A. Milak
66'
🟦
D. Salcin
Yellow Card
66'
🟦
A. Nukic
Yellow Card
69'
🔄
R. Gojkovic
(A. Turkes)
Substitution 2
69'
🔄
A. Nukic
(A. Mesic)
Substitution 1
69'
🔄
R. Abdullah
(V. Djuric)
Substitution 2
71'
⚽
A. Hrkac
72'
🟦
Yellow Card
78'
🔄
A. Milak
(I. Saric)
Substitution 3
78'
🔄
D. Salcin
(E. Vehabovic)
Substitution 4
80'
🟦
Yellow Card
84'
🔄
M. Kupresak
(N. Mujkic)
Substitution 3
84'
🔄
L. Menalo
(A. Beganovic)
Substitution 4
Head to Head
Velež
FK Sarajevo
1
1
1 wins
3 draws
1 wins
2026-02-25
FK Sarajevo
0 - 1
Velež
HT: 0-0
2025-12-02
Velež
0 - 0
FK Sarajevo
HT: 0-0
2025-09-20
FK Sarajevo
2 - 0
Velež
HT: 1-0
2025-05-18
Velež
2 - 2
FK Sarajevo
HT: 1-2
2025-03-08
Velež
0 - 0
FK Sarajevo
HT: 0-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.30
Draw
2.90
Away
3.00
Home
3.00
Draw
2.00
Away
3.60
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Home -0.25
2.05
Away -0.25
1.75
Home +0
1.72
Away +0
2.08
Home/Draw
1.30
Home/Away
1.30
Draw/Away
1.50
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.36
1:0
7.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
10.00
3:0
21.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
8.00
1:1
6.50
2:2
17.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
15.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
11.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
81.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
151.00
1:5
151.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
101.00
5:1
101.00
5:2
151.00
4:3
126.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
13.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
67.00
4:0
151.00
0:0
2.50
1:1
8.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.00
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
81.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
6.00
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
3.75
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
17.00
Away/Away
4.75
Home
1.73
Away
2.00
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 2.25
2.00
Under 2.25
1.80
Over 0.75
1.70
Under 0.75
2.10
Over 8
1.90
Under 8
1.90
Over 8.5
2.10
Under 8.5
1.67
Over 3.5
1.80
Under 3.5
2.00
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.75
Under 4
1.95
Home
1.91
Draw
7.50
Away
2.20
Home
1.22
Away
4.00
Exactly 8
7.00
Over 8
2.10
Under 8
2.10
Season Form
Velež
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 4
GA: 1
GD: +3
FK Sarajevo
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 4
GA: 1
GD: +3
Last 5 Matches
Velež
06 Mar
H
Posušje
1-0
W
FK Sarajevo
07 Mar
H
Rudar Prijedor
2-2
D