🇵🇹 Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 26 FT

Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa - Segunda Liga

Vizela Vizela
L L W W W
4 - 3
HT: 2-1
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
W L W L W
Estádio Do Vizela · Ref: Flavio Jesus, Portugal
Viz 1 · Lus 4

AI Match Analysis

A crucial mid-table clash unfolds in the Segunda Liga as sixth-placed Vizela hosts eighth-placed Lusitânia Lourosa. Separated by a single point after 25 games, both sides are vying to solidify their position and potentially challenge for a promotion playoff spot. A victory for either would provide a significant boost, while a draw would leave both teams looking over their shoulders.

Vizela's recent form has been patchy, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five outings, most recently a draw against Felgueiras 1932. Their home form, while decent at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, suggests they are not invincible at the Estádio Do Vizela. Lusitânia Lourosa, on the other hand, have been more consistent with two wins, one loss, and two draws; however, their recent results against Sporting CP B and Farense have been draws. Their away record is impressive, boasting 6 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, indicating they are a threat on their travels.

The head-to-head record between these two is tight, with each side claiming one victory and one draw in their last three encounters. While no specific injuries are mentioned, any absences could significantly impact team selection. Based on the Elo probability model, Vizela are narrow favorites with a 61.30% chance of victory; however, Lusitânia Lourosa's strong away form suggests they could well upset the odds. Expect a closely contested affair.

Our Predictions

1X2 1 50% 1.91 medium
BTTS BTTS Yes 31% 1.91 low
CS 1-1 14% 7.71 medium
CS 1-1 14% 7.71 medium
HT/FT 1/1 21% 5.14 medium
HT/FT 1/1 21% 5.14 medium
O/U Under 2.5 57% 1.67 high

Match Info

Stadium
Estádio Do Vizela
Referee
Flavio Jesus, Portugal
Round
Regular Season - 26
Vizela Lusitânia Lourosa
63.39% Win Probability 36.61%

Match Analysis

Double chance : draw or Lusitânia Lourosa

Predicted winner: Lusitânia Lourosa — Win or draw

Vizela 10.00%
Draw 45.00%
Lusitânia Lourosa 45.00%
Expected goals: -2.5 - -2.5

Match Statistics

0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0

Match Events

7'
L. Rocha (M. Lacava)
11'
M. Pereira (Fabinho)
28'
Y. Fortune
45+1' 🟦
Tokinho Doria Yellow Card
46' 🔄
Arsenio (Tiago Dias) Substitution 1
54'
Tiago Dias (Fabinho)
56'
H. Morschel
66'
H. Morschel (M. Lacava)
67' 🔄
M. Teixeira (Joao Vasco) Substitution 2
67' 🔄
J. Silva (R. Martins) Substitution 3
67' 🔄
Tokinho Doria (I. Alhassan) Substitution 4
76' 🟦
A. Gomis Yellow Card
82'
Fabinho
83' 🔄
Moha Moukhliss (A. Bastunov) Substitution 1
83' 🔄
R. Ramos (D. Loppy) Substitution 2
83' 🔄
Y. Fortune (H. Ivanov) Substitution 3
88' 🔄
M. Lacava (Thio) Substitution 4
88' 🔄
T. Mesquita (L. Rocha) Substitution 5
90' 🟦
Silverio Yellow Card
90+2' 🟦
Tiago Dias Yellow Card
90+2' 🟦
L. Rocha Yellow Card
90+3' 🔄
H. Morschel (Y. Kitala) Substitution 5

Lineups

Vizela Vizela 4-2-3-1
4-3-3 Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Ronald Ramirez Coach Miguel Bastos Soares Ferreira Pedro
4-2-3-1
23
Fortune
21
Ramos
24
Mörschel
36
Lacava
22
Busnić
5
Moukhliss
77
Jójó
37
Sampaio
13
Rocha
20
Godwin
1
Gomis
4-3-3
11
Pereira
9
Silva
12
Nunes
27
Fabinho
8
Doria
88
Teixeira
28
Mesquita
3
5
Junio
29
Cerveira
32
Hugo
Starting XI
1 Antonio Gomis G
G Vitor Hugo 32
77 Jójó D
D Tiago Mesquita 28
37 Jose Sampaio D
D Josué Sá 3
13 Luís Rocha D
D Silvério Junio 5
20 Bright Osuoha Godwin D
D Tiago Cerveira 29
22 Aleksandar Busnić M
M Fabinho 27
5 Moha Moukhliss M
M Jose Campelo Doria 8
21 Rodrigo Ramos M
M Miguel Teixeira 88
24 Heinz Mörschel M
F Miguel Pereira 11
36 Matías Lacava F
F João Silva 9
23 Yassin Fortune F
F Arsénio Nunes 12
Substitutes
92 Pedro Souza
Tiago Dias 77
6 Jota Gonçalves
João Vasco 21
8 Angel Bastunov
Marco Ribeiro 23
14 Leverton Pierre
Luís Rocha 16
18 Nikita Demchenko
Bruno Faria 22
45 Hristo Ivanov
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi 6
7 Damien Loppy
Mimito Biai 24
11 Natanael Ntolla
Manel 80
29 Yann Kitala
Rodrigo Martins 7

Head to Head

Vizela
Lusitânia Lourosa
0
2
0 wins 1 draws 2 wins
2025-10-29
Lusitânia Lourosa 1 - 1 Vizela
HT: 0-1
2025-08-02
Vizela 1 - 3 Lusitânia Lourosa
2024-09-22
Lusitânia Lourosa 4 - 3 Vizela
HT: 0-0

Odds

Bet365
Home
1.91
Draw
3.20
Away
3.80
Home
2.62
Draw
2.10
Away
4.50
Home
2.30
Draw
2.38
Away
3.75
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.67
Over 3.5
3.75
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
9.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
3.30
Away -1.25
1.32
Home -1
2.85
Away -1
1.40
Home -0.75
2.25
Away -0.75
1.62
Home -0.5
1.98
Away -0.5
1.82
Home -0.25
1.70
Away -0.25
2.10
Home +0
1.42
Away +0
2.75
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.26
Away +0.5
3.70
Home +0.75
1.17
Away +0.75
5.00
Home -1.75
4.65
Away -1.75
1.18
Home -1.5
3.70
Away -1.5
1.26
Home -1
6.40
Away -1
1.12
Home -0.75
3.45
Away -0.75
1.30
Home -0.5
2.60
Away -0.5
1.48
Home -0.25
2.05
Away -0.25
1.75
Home +0
1.50
Away +0
2.50
Home +0.25
1.30
Away +0.25
3.45
Home +0.5
1.21
Away +0.5
4.25
Home +0.75
1.12
Away +0.75
6.40
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.73
Home/Draw
1.17
Home/Away
1.67
Draw/Away
1.44
1:0
6.50
2:0
8.50
2:1
9.00
3:0
17.00
3:1
17.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
41.00
4:1
41.00
0:0
8.50
1:1
6.50
2:2
17.00
0:1
10.00
0:2
19.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
13.00
1:3
34.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
81.00
2:4
101.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
351.00
1:5
251.00
2:5
351.00
3:4
151.00
5:0
67.00
5:1
81.00
5:2
126.00
6:0
201.00
6:1
201.00
4:3
126.00
5:3
301.00
4:4
351.00
1:0
4.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
51.00
3:2
151.00
4:0
101.00
4:1
201.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.50
2:2
51.00
0:1
5.50
0:2
21.00
0:3
81.00
1:2
34.00
1:3
101.00
2:3
251.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
8.00
Draw/Draw
5.00
Home/Home
3.20
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
26.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.50
Home
1.40
Away
2.75
Home/Yes
4.50
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
8.50
Home/No
3.25
Draw/No
8.50
Away/No
6.50
o/yes 2.5
2.60
o/no 2.5
9.50
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.50
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.33
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.33
3
11.00
4
34.00
more 5
67.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.45
Under 1.75
2.68
Over 2.25
1.90
Under 2.25
1.90
Over 2.5
2.15
Under 2.5
1.68
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.80
Under 3.5
1.25
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
7.00
Over 2
1.60
Under 2
2.30
Over 3
3.10
Under 3
1.35
Over 1.25
1.23
Under 1.25
4.00
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.00
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 1.5
3.10
Under 1.5
1.35
Over 1.75
4.15
Under 1.75
1.22
Over 1
2.05
Under 1
1.75
Over 2
7.00
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.45
Under 0.5
2.68
Over 0.75
1.65
Under 0.75
2.20
Over 1.25
2.60
Under 1.25
1.48
Home -1
3.75
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
21.00
Draw -3
12.00
Away -3
1.06
Home -2
8.50
Draw -2
6.00
Away -2
1.25
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
5.50
Away +1
9.50
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
13.00
Away +2
23.00
Home -1
8.00
Away -1
1.44
Draw -1
3.40
Home -3
81.00
Draw -3
34.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
29.00
Draw -2
10.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.17
Draw +1
5.00
Away +1
17.00
Over 9.5
1.73
Under 9.5
2.00
Over 10
2.00
Under 10
1.80
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.91
Under 4
2.88
Over 4.5
1.90
Under 4.5
1.90
Home -1
1.82
Away -1
1.98
Home -1.5
1.95
Away -1.5
1.85
Home -1
1.83
Away -1
2.20
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
5.00
Under 2.5
1.17
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Over 4.5
29.00
Under 4.5
1.01
0
3.75
1
2.62
2
3.60
more 3
5.00
Over 5.5
1.83
Under 5.5
1.83
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 3.5
29.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
0
2.38
1
2.40
2
5.00
more 3
11.00
Over 3.5
1.62
Under 3.5
2.20
Over 4.5
2.20
Under 4.5
1.62
Home
3.25
Away
6.50
Home
6.50
Away
17.00
Home
1.57
Away
2.38
Home
10.00
Away
17.00
Home
1.73
Draw
8.50
Away
2.50
Home
1.73
Draw
8.50
Away
2.50
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
3.50
Away
6.00
Home/Over 2.5
3.50
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
7.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.00
Draw/Under 2.5
4.00
Away/Under 2.5
7.00
1 by 1
3.75
2 by 1
5.50
1 by 4+
21.00
1 by 2
6.00
2 by 2
13.00
1 by 3
12.00
2 by 3
34.00
2 by 4+
51.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
8.50
Draw
1.95
1st Half
4.00
2nd Half
2.88
Odd
2.20
Even
1.62
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Yes
2.38
No
1.53
Home
2.62
Away
5.50
Draw
1.80
Under 6
11.00
6 - 8
3.25
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.00
Over 14
9.00
Over
1.57
Under
2.25
Home
7.50
Draw
1.14
Away
10.00
Draw
2.40
1st Half
3.40
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Over 20.5
1.83
Under 20.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
8.50
Away/Over 1.5
13.00
Home/Over 1.5
6.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.00
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
5.50
Exactly 4
23.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.05
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.44
Under 8
3.75
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.73
Under 9
2.62
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.20
Under 10
2.00
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.00
Under 11
1.62
Exactly 7
9.50
Over 7
1.25
Under 7
6.00
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
4.00
Under 12
1.36
Exactly 6
12.00
Over 6
1.12
Under 6
11.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
6.00
Under 13
1.22
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
9.00
Under 14
1.12
Exactly 17
29.00
Over 17
23.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
17.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
12.00
Under 15
1.07

Segunda Liga Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
Maritimo
25 15 5 5 40:20 +20 50
W L W W L
2.
Academico Viseu
26 14 5 7 47:28 +19 47
W L W W W
3.
Torreense
25 12 3 10 31:27 +4 39
W L W D W
4.
Sporting CP B
26 12 2 12 37:25 +12 38
L L L L W
5.
União de Leiria
24 10 8 6 38:32 +6 38
W W W D L
6.
Vizela
25 10 8 7 31:28 +3 38
W W W L L
7.
FC Porto B
25 11 4 10 32:33 -1 37
L W W D W
8.
Lusitânia Lourosa
25 10 7 8 34:37 -3 37
W L W L W
9.
Chaves
26 10 6 10 29:24 +5 36
W W L W L
10.
Benfica B
26 8 10 8 36:32 +4 34
L W D L W
11.
Feirense
25 8 8 9 28:30 -2 32
L D L W L
12.
Leixoes
26 9 4 13 29:47 -18 31
L L W L W
13.
Felgueiras 1932
26 7 9 10 24:31 -7 30
D L D D L
14.
Pacos Ferreira
25 7 9 9 24:34 -10 30
W W D L D
15.
Penafiel
25 7 8 10 22:24 -2 29
D D D W W
16.
Farense
26 7 8 11 23:32 -9 29
D D W L L
17.
Oliveirense
25 6 8 11 26:36 -10 26
L D L L W
18.
Portimonense
25 6 6 13 27:38 -11 24
L L L L D
Promotion
Relegation

Season Form

Vizela
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 31 GA: 28 GD: +3
Lusitânia Lourosa
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 34 GA: 37 GD: -3

Last 5 Matches

Vizela
08 Mar A Felgueiras 1932 1-0 W
Lusitânia Lourosa
08 Mar H Sporting CP B 1-0 W
01 Mar A Farense 1-2 L

More Predictions