🇭🇷 HNL · Regular Season - 25 NS

Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka - HNL

Vukovar
Vukovar
L W D D L
16:45
Sun, 08 Mar 2026
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
D L
Stadion Gradski vrt

Match Preview

A crucial Round 25 HNL fixture sees tenth-placed Vukovar host HNK Rijeka, who currently sit third in the league standings. For Rijeka, a win is vital to keep pace with the top two, while Vukovar will be desperate to distance themselves further from the relegation zone. With both teams needing points, this match at Stadion Gradski vrt promises to be a tense affair.

Vukovar's home form provides a glimmer of hope, having secured all four of their league wins on their own turf. However, Rijeka's recent form is a cause for concern. They enter this match on the back of consecutive draws, including stalemates against Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb. Rijeka's away form is also underwhelming, with only two wins from eleven attempts. Despite these struggles, Rijeka's superior goal difference of +11 compared to Vukovar's -17 highlights their overall quality.

Historically, Rijeka hold the upper hand, winning both of their previous two encounters with Vukovar. While injury news is unavailable, the Elo-based win probability marginally favors the home side, suggesting an upset could be on the cards. Given Rijeka's recent struggles and Vukovar's solid home record, another draw is a distinct possibility.

Our Predictions

1X2 2 51% 1.95 high
BTTS BTTS Yes 56% 1.80 high
CS 1-2 9% 12.00 low
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HT/FT 2/2 20% 5.40 medium
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O/U Over 2.5 51% 1.95 high

Match Info

Stadium
Stadion Gradski vrt
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 25
Vukovar HNK Rijeka
50.88% Win Probability 49.12%

Match Analysis

Double chance : draw or HNK Rijeka

Predicted winner: HNK Rijeka — Win or draw

Vukovar 10.00%
Draw 45.00%
HNK Rijeka 45.00%
Expected goals: -2.5 - -2.5

Head to Head

Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
1
1
1 wins 0 draws 1 wins
2025-12-06
HNK Rijeka 3 - 1 Vukovar
HT: 2-0
2025-09-22
Vukovar 3 - 2 HNK Rijeka
HT: 1-2

Odds

Bet365
Home
3.70
Draw
3.50
Away
1.95
Home
4.33
Draw
2.20
Away
2.60
Home
3.60
Draw
2.50
Away
2.30
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.95
Under 2.5
1.85
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
11.00
Over 4.5
6.50
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
29.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
4.50
Under 2.5
1.18
Over 3.5
13.00
Under 3.5
1.04
Over 0.5
1.25
Under 0.5
3.75
Yes
1.80
No
1.91
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Home -1
7.00
Away -1
1.10
Home -0.75
4.50
Away -0.75
1.19
Home -0.5
3.55
Away -0.5
1.27
Home -0.25
3.10
Away -0.25
1.35
Home +0
2.68
Away +0
1.45
Home +0.25
2.10
Away +0.25
1.70
Home +0.5
1.82
Away +0.5
1.98
Home +0.75
1.62
Away +0.75
2.25
Home +1
1.42
Away +1
2.75
Home +2
1.10
Away +2
6.80
Home +1.25
1.32
Away +1.25
3.30
Home +1.5
1.27
Away +1.5
3.55
Home +1.75
1.19
Away +1.75
4.50
Home +2.25
1.10
Away +2.25
6.80
Home +2.5
1.10
Away +2.5
7.00
Home -0.75
7.00
Away -0.75
1.10
Home -0.5
4.00
Away -0.5
1.23
Home -0.25
3.30
Away -0.25
1.32
Home +0
2.42
Away +0
1.52
Home +0.25
1.72
Away +0.25
2.08
Home +0.5
1.48
Away +0.5
2.60
Home +0.75
1.30
Away +0.75
3.45
Home +1
1.12
Away +1
6.00
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
6.80
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home/Draw
1.80
Home/Away
1.28
Draw/Away
1.28
Home/Draw
1.50
Home/Away
1.62
Draw/Away
1.20
1:0
11.00
2:0
19.00
2:1
13.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
29.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
81.00
4:1
67.00
0:0
10.00
1:1
6.50
2:2
15.00
0:1
7.50
0:2
9.50
0:3
17.00
1:2
9.00
1:3
17.00
2:3
26.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
34.00
1:4
34.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
81.00
0:5
67.00
0:6
151.00
1:5
67.00
1:6
151.00
2:5
101.00
2:6
301.00
3:4
81.00
5:0
251.00
5:1
201.00
5:2
251.00
4:3
126.00
3:5
201.00
4:4
251.00
1:0
5.50
2:0
21.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
67.00
3:1
81.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
301.00
0:0
3.00
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
4.00
0:2
10.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
151.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
151.00
0:5
351.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
23.00
Draw/Away
5.00
Draw/Draw
5.50
Home/Home
6.00
Draw/Home
8.00
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
13.00
Away/Away
3.20
Home
2.62
Away
1.44
Home/Yes
7.00
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
4.00
Home/No
6.50
Draw/No
10.00
Away/No
3.40
o/yes 2.5
2.25
o/no 2.5
9.00
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.38
Odd
1.98
Even
1.88
Odd
2.10
Even
1.73
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
10.00
1
4.75
2
3.60
3
4.00
4
6.00
5
11.00
6
21.00
more 7
29.00
0
3.00
1
2.50
2
4.00
3
10.00
4
29.00
more 5
51.00
0
3.75
1
2.75
2
3.60
3
7.00
4
17.00
more 5
29.00
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.45
Over 1.75
1.35
Under 1.75
3.10
Over 2.25
1.70
Under 2.25
2.10
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 2.75
2.20
Under 2.75
1.65
Over 3.5
3.30
Under 3.5
1.32
Over 2
1.45
Under 2
2.68
Over 3
2.60
Under 3
1.48
Over 4
5.75
Under 4
1.14
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
4.65
Over 4.5
6.40
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 3.25
3.00
Under 3.25
1.38
Over 3.75
4.00
Under 3.75
1.23
Over 4.25
6.00
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.42
Over 1.75
3.55
Under 1.75
1.27
Over 2.25
6.40
Under 2.25
1.12
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 1
1.85
Under 1
1.95
Over 2
5.90
Under 2
1.13
Over 0.5
1.38
Under 0.5
3.00
Over 0.75
1.52
Under 0.75
2.42
Over 1.25
2.35
Under 1.25
1.58
Home -1
8.00
Away -1
1.28
Draw -1
5.50
Home -2
21.00
Draw -2
12.00
Away -2
1.06
Home +1
1.80
Draw +1
3.75
Away +1
3.60
Home +2
1.28
Draw +2
5.50
Away +2
8.00
Home +3
1.07
Draw +3
12.00
Away +3
19.00
Home -1
15.00
Away -1
1.20
Draw -1
4.75
Home +1
1.50
Draw +1
3.40
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
10.00
Away +2
26.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
34.00
Away +3
81.00
Over 8.5
1.80
Under 8.5
1.91
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.30
Under 4
2.25
Home +1.5
1.82
Away +1.5
1.98
Home +1
2.20
Draw +1
7.50
Away +1
1.91
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
9.00
Under 2.5
1.07
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
9.00
Over 3.5
1.83
Under 3.5
1.83
Over 1.5
2.00
Under 1.5
1.73
Over 2.5
4.33
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
26.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 5.5
51.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
4.33
1
2.75
2
3.50
more 3
4.33
Over 4.5
1.73
Under 4.5
2.00
Home
6.50
Away
3.40
Home
15.00
Away
6.00
Home
2.25
Away
1.53
Home
15.00
Away
9.00
Home
2.38
Draw
10.00
Away
1.67
Home
2.38
Draw
10.00
Away
1.67
Draw
3.50
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.10
Home
5.00
Away
3.25
Home/Over 2.5
6.00
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
3.20
Home/Under 2.5
7.50
Draw/Under 2.5
4.50
Away/Under 2.5
4.50
1 by 1
5.50
2 by 1
3.75
1 by 4+
51.00
1 by 2
12.00
2 by 2
5.50
1 by 3
29.00
2 by 3
12.00
2 by 4+
19.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
10.00
Draw
2.50
1st Half
3.25
2nd Half
2.40
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Yes
2.62
No
1.44
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home
7.50
Away
3.20
Draw
1.50
Under 6
6.50
6 - 8
2.62
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
6.00
Over 14
15.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
9.50
Draw
1.17
Away
7.00
Draw
2.05
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Over 15.5
1.80
Under 15.5
1.91
Draw/Over 1.5
7.50
Away/Over 1.5
6.00
Home/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Under 1.5
5.50
Draw/Under 1.5
3.00
Away/Under 1.5
4.00
Exactly 4
15.00
Over 4
1.05
Under 4
23.00
Exactly 5
12.00
Over 5
1.11
Under 5
11.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.80
Under 8
2.62
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.38
Under 9
1.91
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.25
Under 10
1.53
Exactly 11
10.00
Over 11
4.50
Under 11
1.33
Exactly 7
7.50
Over 7
1.44
Under 7
3.75
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
7.00
Under 12
1.18
Exactly 6
9.00
Over 6
1.25
Under 6
6.50
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
11.00
Under 13
1.10
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
15.00
Under 14
1.05
Exactly 15
26.00
Over 15
21.00
Under 15
1.02

HNL Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1.
Dinamo Zagreb
24 17 3 4 56:19 +37 54
W W W D W
2.
HNK Hajduk Split
24 14 5 5 36:21 +15 47
D W W W L
3.
HNK Rijeka
24 9 8 7 36:25 +11 35
W L W D L
4.
NK Slaven Belupo
25 9 8 8 35:38 -3 35
D W D W L
5.
NK Varazdin
24 9 6 9 30:35 -5 33
D L L W W
6.
Istra 1961
25 8 6 11 29:36 -7 30
L L L L L
7.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
24 7 8 9 29:37 -8 29
L W L W D
8.
HNK Gorica
25 7 6 12 29:38 -9 27
D L W D L
9.
NK Osijek
25 5 8 12 22:36 -14 23
W W L L L
10.
Vukovar
24 4 8 12 26:43 -17 20
L D D W L
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation

Season Form

Vukovar
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
GF: 26 GA: 43 GD: -17
HNK Rijeka
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 1 GA: 6 GD: -5

Last 5 Matches

HNK Rijeka
04 Mar H HNK Hajduk Split 3-2 W
01 Mar H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 W
26 Feb H Omonia Nicosia 3-1 W

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