🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie
· Regular Season - 32
NS
VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax - Eerste Divisie
Seacon - De Koel
·
Ref: K. Puts
AI Match Analysis
A mid-table clash in the Eerste Divisie sees VVV Venlo host Jong Ajax in round 32. Both sides are languishing in the bottom half, with Venlo currently 12th on 37 points and Jong Ajax struggling in 19th with 29. While neither side is in relegation danger, a win would provide a much-needed morale boost and a chance to climb the standings.
VVV Venlo's form has been patchy, with only one win in their last five (WDDLL). Their recent draws against MVV and Waalwijk suggest a team struggling to convert opportunities. At home, they've won six, drawn one, and lost eight, indicating inconsistency at the Seacon - De Koel. Jong Ajax's form is equally erratic (LWDWL), mirroring their overall season. Their away record is particularly poor, with only two wins, three draws, and ten losses. Recent stalemates against Den Bosch and FC Eindhoven point to a defensive resilience, but a lack of cutting edge in attack.
Historically, Jong Ajax hold a slight edge in the head-to-head record with three wins to VVV Venlo's two in the last five meetings. Though the Elo model gives a slight home advantage to VVV Venlo, the negligible difference suggests a closely contested affair. Given both teams' struggles for consistency and penchant for draws, another stalemate might be on the cards.
VVV Venlo's form has been patchy, with only one win in their last five (WDDLL). Their recent draws against MVV and Waalwijk suggest a team struggling to convert opportunities. At home, they've won six, drawn one, and lost eight, indicating inconsistency at the Seacon - De Koel. Jong Ajax's form is equally erratic (LWDWL), mirroring their overall season. Their away record is particularly poor, with only two wins, three draws, and ten losses. Recent stalemates against Den Bosch and FC Eindhoven point to a defensive resilience, but a lack of cutting edge in attack.
Historically, Jong Ajax hold a slight edge in the head-to-head record with three wins to VVV Venlo's two in the last five meetings. Though the Elo model gives a slight home advantage to VVV Venlo, the negligible difference suggests a closely contested affair. Given both teams' struggles for consistency and penchant for draws, another stalemate might be on the cards.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
47%
1.73
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
39%
1.44
low
O/U
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
medium
Match Info
Stadium
Seacon - De Koel
Referee
K. Puts
Round
Regular Season - 32
VVV Venlo
Jong Ajax
50.85%
Win Probability
49.15%
Match Analysis
Double chance : draw or Jong Ajax
Predicted winner: Jong Ajax — Win or draw
VVV Venlo
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Jong Ajax
45.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Injuries & Suspensions
✖
T. Gooijer
(Jumpers knee)
Head to Head
Jong Ajax
4
1
4 wins
0 draws
1 wins
2025-09-26
Jong Ajax
2 - 4
VVV Venlo
HT: 1-1
2025-03-07
VVV Venlo
1 - 0
Jong Ajax
HT: 0-0
2024-11-01
Jong Ajax
0 - 1
VVV Venlo
HT: 0-1
2024-05-03
VVV Venlo
2 - 0
Jong Ajax
HT: 0-0
2023-10-06
Jong Ajax
3 - 0
VVV Venlo
HT: 2-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
1.73
Draw
4.00
Away
4.20
Home
2.20
Draw
2.60
Away
4.00
Home
2.00
Draw
2.88
Away
3.75
Over 1.5
1.12
Under 1.5
6.00
Over 2.5
1.44
Under 2.5
2.70
Over 3.5
2.10
Under 3.5
1.67
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
21.00
Over 8.5
51.00
Under 8.5
1.00
Over 4.5
3.50
Under 4.5
1.28
Over 7.5
26.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.50
Under 5.5
1.11
Over 6.5
13.00
Under 6.5
1.04
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.67
Over 2.5
4.50
Under 2.5
1.18
Over 3.5
11.00
Under 3.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.22
Under 0.5
4.00
Over 1.5
1.67
Under 1.5
2.10
Over 2.5
3.00
Under 2.5
1.36
Over 3.5
6.50
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.12
Under 0.5
6.00
Over 4.5
17.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Yes
1.44
No
2.62
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home -1.25
2.50
Away -1.25
1.50
Home -1
2.25
Away -1
1.62
Home -0.75
1.95
Away -0.75
1.85
Home -0.5
1.72
Away -0.5
2.08
Home -0.25
1.55
Away -0.25
2.38
Home +0
1.35
Away +0
3.10
Home +0.25
1.27
Away +0.25
3.55
Home +0.5
1.24
Away +0.5
3.90
Home +0.75
1.17
Away +0.75
5.00
Home -2
4.40
Away -2
1.20
Home -1.75
3.45
Away -1.75
1.30
Home -1.5
2.75
Away -1.5
1.42
Home -2.5
5.25
Away -2.5
1.16
Home -2.25
4.80
Away -2.25
1.18
Home -2.75
6.80
Away -2.75
1.10
Home -1.25
4.80
Away -1.25
1.18
Home -1
4.15
Away -1
1.22
Home -0.75
2.75
Away -0.75
1.42
Home -0.5
2.25
Away -0.5
1.62
Home -0.25
1.85
Away -0.25
1.95
Home +0
1.45
Away +0
2.68
Home +0.25
1.32
Away +0.25
3.30
Home +0.5
1.24
Away +0.5
3.90
Home +0.75
1.14
Away +0.75
5.75
Home -1.5
5.50
Away -1.5
1.15
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.22
Draw/Away
2.05
Home/Draw
1.22
Home/Away
1.50
Draw/Away
1.62
1:0
12.00
2:0
11.00
2:1
9.00
3:0
17.00
3:1
12.00
3:2
17.00
4:0
26.00
4:1
21.00
0:0
21.00
1:1
8.50
2:2
12.00
0:1
19.00
0:2
26.00
0:3
41.00
1:2
15.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
26.00
3:3
34.00
0:4
81.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
51.00
4:2
29.00
0:5
251.00
1:5
126.00
2:5
126.00
3:4
67.00
5:0
51.00
5:1
41.00
5:2
51.00
6:0
81.00
6:1
81.00
6:2
101.00
4:3
51.00
3:5
151.00
5:3
81.00
5:4
201.00
6:3
201.00
4:4
81.00
7:0
201.00
7:1
151.00
1:0
4.33
2:0
8.50
2:1
15.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
34.00
3:2
81.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
81.00
0:0
4.00
1:1
7.00
2:2
41.00
0:1
6.50
0:2
19.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
21.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
101.00
3:3
251.00
0:4
201.00
1:4
251.00
4:2
201.00
5:0
201.00
5:1
301.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
26.00
Draw/Away
9.50
Draw/Draw
7.00
Home/Home
2.62
Draw/Home
5.00
Away/Home
17.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
6.50
Home
1.33
Away
3.25
Home/Yes
2.88
Draw/Yes
4.50
Away/Yes
6.00
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
21.00
Away/No
10.00
o/yes 2.5
1.67
o/no 2.5
7.50
u/yes 2.5
8.50
u/no 2.5
3.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.85
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
21.00
1
8.00
2
4.50
3
4.33
4
4.75
5
7.00
6
11.00
more 7
13.00
0
4.00
1
2.75
2
3.60
3
6.50
4
17.00
more 5
29.00
0
6.00
1
3.25
2
3.40
3
5.00
4
10.00
more 5
17.00
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.90
Over 1.75
1.15
Under 1.75
5.50
Over 2.25
1.30
Under 2.25
3.45
Over 2.5
1.45
Under 2.5
2.68
Over 2.75
1.55
Under 2.75
2.38
Over 3.5
2.08
Under 3.5
1.72
Over 2
1.18
Under 2
4.80
Over 3
1.68
Under 3
2.15
Over 4
2.85
Under 4
1.40
Over 5
5.75
Under 5
1.14
Over 4.5
3.45
Under 4.5
1.30
Over 3.25
1.90
Under 3.25
1.90
Over 3.75
2.38
Under 3.75
1.55
Over 4.25
3.10
Under 4.25
1.35
Over 4.75
4.15
Under 4.75
1.22
Over 5.5
6.25
Under 5.5
1.12
Over 5.25
5.90
Under 5.25
1.13
Over 1.5
2.10
Under 1.5
1.70
Over 1.75
2.50
Under 1.75
1.50
Over 2.25
3.90
Under 2.25
1.24
Over 2.5
4.40
Under 2.5
1.20
Over 2.75
6.00
Under 2.75
1.12
Over 1
1.42
Under 1
2.75
Over 2
3.45
Under 2
1.30
Over 0.5
1.24
Under 0.5
3.90
Over 0.75
1.30
Under 0.75
3.45
Over 1.25
1.78
Under 1.25
2.02
Home -1
2.75
Away -1
2.05
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
11.00
Draw -3
8.50
Away -3
1.14
Home -2
5.00
Draw -2
5.00
Away -2
1.40
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
6.50
Away +1
8.00
Home +2
1.06
Draw +2
12.00
Away +2
21.00
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.62
Draw -1
3.25
Home -3
41.00
Draw -3
19.00
Away -3
1.02
Home -2
15.00
Draw -2
7.00
Away -2
1.11
Home +1
1.22
Draw +1
4.75
Away +1
13.00
Over 9.5
1.80
Under 9.5
1.91
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.91
Under 4
2.75
Over 1.5
1.53
Under 1.5
2.38
Over 2.5
2.62
Under 2.5
1.44
Over 3.5
5.50
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
7.00
Over 4.5
13.00
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 5.5
26.00
Under 5.5
1.01
0
7.00
1
3.40
2
3.25
more 3
2.62
Over 1.5
2.38
Under 1.5
1.53
Over 2.5
6.00
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.30
Under 0.5
3.40
Over 4.5
41.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.40
1
2.60
2
3.75
more 3
6.00
Home
3.75
Away
10.00
Home
4.50
Away
15.00
Home
1.40
Away
2.25
Home
6.50
Away
13.00
Home
1.57
Draw
21.00
Away
2.30
Home
1.57
Draw
21.00
Away
2.30
Draw
4.00
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
1.95
Home
2.20
Away
3.75
Draw/Over 3.5
9.00
Home/Over 3.5
3.40
Away/Over 3.5
9.50
Home/Under 3.5
3.20
Draw/Under 3.5
6.50
Away/Under 3.5
6.50
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
6.50
1 by 4+
11.00
1 by 2
5.00
2 by 2
12.00
1 by 3
8.50
2 by 3
26.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.50
Draw
21.00
Draw
2.30
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.50
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
7.00
No
1.10
Yes
3.40
No
1.30
Under 6
10.00
6 - 8
3.20
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.33
Over 14
10.00
Home
5.50
Draw
1.22
Away
8.00
Draw
3.00
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.20
Odd
1.83
Even
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
6.50
Away/Over 1.5
9.00
Home/Over 1.5
4.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.33
Draw/Under 1.5
4.00
Away/Under 1.5
6.50
Exactly 4
21.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
29.00
Exactly 5
15.00
Over 5
1.06
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.00
Over 8
1.50
Under 8
3.75
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.80
Under 9
2.50
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.25
Under 10
1.91
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
3.25
Under 11
1.57
Exactly 7
9.00
Over 7
1.25
Under 7
5.50
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
4.33
Under 12
1.33
Exactly 6
11.00
Over 6
1.14
Under 6
10.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
6.50
Under 13
1.20
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
10.00
Under 14
1.11
Exactly 17
29.00
Over 17
23.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
23.00
Over 16
17.00
Under 16
1.03
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
15.00
Under 15
1.06
Eerste Divisie Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
ADO Den Haag
|
31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 71:31 | +40 | 71 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 2. |
Cambuur
|
30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 62:33 | +29 | 67 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
De Graafschap
|
31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 58:49 | +9 | 52 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 4. |
Jong PSV U21
|
31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 62:55 | +7 | 50 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 5. |
Willem II
|
31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:38 | +7 | 50 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 6. |
Almere City FC
|
31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 64:51 | +13 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 7. |
Waalwijk
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52:45 | +7 | 47 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 8. |
Roda
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 50:46 | +4 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 9. |
Dordrecht
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 10. |
Den Bosch
|
31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 54:57 | -3 | 40 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 11. |
FC Eindhoven
|
31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 45:55 | -10 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 12. |
VVV Venlo
|
31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 37 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 13. |
Jong Utrecht
|
31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 48:53 | -5 | 36 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 14. |
Emmen
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 15. |
MVV
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 16. |
Helmond Sport
|
31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37:55 | -18 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 17. |
Vitesse
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48:49 | -1 | 30 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 18. |
Jong AZ
|
31 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 52:62 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 19. |
Jong Ajax
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 29 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 20. |
FC OSS
|
31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 37:54 | -17 | 28 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
VVV Venlo
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
GF: 39
GA: 48
GD: -9
Jong Ajax
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 44
GA: 57
GD: -13
Last 5 Matches
13 Mar
A
MVV
1-2
L
06 Mar
H
Waalwijk
0-3
L
13 Mar
H
Den Bosch
3-2
W
06 Mar
A
FC Eindhoven
1-2
L