🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura
· Regular Season - 5
NS
Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado - Primera División - Apertura
Wanderers
D
W
L
W
23:00
Fri, 06 Mar 2026
Deportivo Maldonado
W
W
L
W
Match Preview
A crucial clash in the Uruguayan Primera División Apertura sees league leaders Deportivo Maldonado travel to face Wanderers in Round 5. Maldonado will be looking to consolidate their position at the top, while Wanderers, currently mid-table, need a win to propel themselves into the upper reaches of the standings. A victory for the home side would see them leapfrog their opponents, adding significant weight to this encounter.
Deportivo Maldonado's strong start to the season sees them arrive with three wins from four, though their away form is less convincing, with one win and one loss. Wanderers, meanwhile, are struggling to find consistency, particularly at home, where they've failed to win in two attempts, drawing one and losing the other. Their overall goal difference of -2 is a concern, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Maldonado will look to exploit.
Recent head-to-head form provides a mixed picture, with both sides claiming two victories and one draw in their last five encounters. Interestingly, the Elo ratings give Wanderers a surprisingly high 59.25% probability of winning at home, despite their underwhelming home form and Maldonado's superior league position. While an upset is entirely possible, Maldonado's strong start to the season suggests they possess the quality to secure at least a point, making a draw a potentially shrewd bet.
Deportivo Maldonado's strong start to the season sees them arrive with three wins from four, though their away form is less convincing, with one win and one loss. Wanderers, meanwhile, are struggling to find consistency, particularly at home, where they've failed to win in two attempts, drawing one and losing the other. Their overall goal difference of -2 is a concern, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Maldonado will look to exploit.
Recent head-to-head form provides a mixed picture, with both sides claiming two victories and one draw in their last five encounters. Interestingly, the Elo ratings give Wanderers a surprisingly high 59.25% probability of winning at home, despite their underwhelming home form and Maldonado's superior league position. While an upset is entirely possible, Maldonado's strong start to the season suggests they possess the quality to secure at least a point, making a draw a potentially shrewd bet.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
41%
2.45
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
55%
1.83
high
CS
1-1
14%
7.71
medium
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HT/FT
X/1
16%
6.75
medium
Get VIP Access
O/U
Under 2.5
61%
1.65
high
Match Info
Stadium
-
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 5
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
59.25%
Win Probability
40.75%
Match Analysis
Combo Winner : Deportivo Maldonado and +1.5 goals
Predicted winner: Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
10.00%
Draw
45.00%
Deportivo Maldonado
45.00%
Expected goals:
-1.5 - -4.5
Head to Head
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
2 wins
1 draws
2 wins
2024-09-20
Deportivo Maldonado
1 - 3
Wanderers
HT: 0-1
2024-07-27
Wanderers
1 - 0
Deportivo Maldonado
HT: 0-0
2024-03-11
Wanderers
0 - 0
Deportivo Maldonado
HT: 0-0
2023-11-15
Deportivo Maldonado
3 - 0
Wanderers
HT: 1-0
2023-04-07
Wanderers
0 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado
HT: 0-1
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.45
Draw
2.88
Away
2.75
Home
3.20
Draw
2.05
Away
3.50
Home
2.88
Draw
2.30
Away
3.00
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
9.00
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.25
Under 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.44
Under 0.5
2.62
Over 1.5
2.25
Under 1.5
1.57
Over 2.5
5.50
Under 2.5
1.14
Over 3.5
15.00
Under 3.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.28
Under 0.5
3.50
Yes
1.83
No
1.83
Yes
5.50
No
1.14
Yes
3.75
No
1.25
Home -1.25
4.80
Away -1.25
1.18
Home -1
4.25
Away -1
1.21
Home -0.75
3.10
Away -0.75
1.35
Home -0.5
2.50
Away -0.5
1.50
Home -0.25
2.15
Away -0.25
1.68
Home +0
1.78
Away +0
2.02
Home +0.25
1.55
Away +0.25
2.38
Home +0.5
1.40
Away +0.5
2.85
Home +0.75
1.27
Away +0.75
3.55
Home +1
1.16
Away +1
5.25
Home -1.75
7.00
Away -1.75
1.10
Home -1.5
5.50
Away -1.5
1.15
Home +1.25
1.14
Away +1.25
5.75
Home +1.5
1.12
Away +1.5
6.25
Home -0.75
4.40
Away -0.75
1.20
Home -0.5
3.10
Away -0.5
1.35
Home -0.25
2.50
Away -0.25
1.50
Home +0
1.80
Away +0
2.00
Home +0.25
1.42
Away +0.25
2.75
Home +0.5
1.30
Away +0.5
3.45
Home +0.75
1.17
Away +0.75
5.00
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.50
Home/Draw
1.28
Home/Away
1.73
Draw/Away
1.36
1:0
7.50
2:0
12.00
2:1
10.00
3:0
23.00
3:1
21.00
3:2
34.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
8.00
1:1
6.00
2:2
15.00
0:1
8.50
0:2
13.00
0:3
29.00
1:2
11.00
1:3
26.00
2:3
34.00
3:3
51.00
0:4
51.00
1:4
51.00
2:4
67.00
4:2
67.00
0:5
151.00
1:5
151.00
2:5
201.00
3:4
126.00
5:0
126.00
5:1
126.00
5:2
151.00
4:3
126.00
4:4
301.00
1:0
4.50
2:0
15.00
2:1
26.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
201.00
4:0
151.00
4:1
301.00
0:0
2.62
1:1
8.00
2:2
51.00
0:1
4.75
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
26.00
1:3
81.00
2:3
201.00
0:4
251.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
29.00
Draw/Away
6.50
Draw/Draw
4.75
Home/Home
4.00
Draw/Home
6.00
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
4.75
Home
1.73
Away
2.00
Home/Yes
5.50
Draw/Yes
4.33
Away/Yes
6.50
Home/No
4.00
Draw/No
8.00
Away/No
4.50
o/yes 2.5
2.50
o/no 2.5
12.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
2.10
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
8.00
1
4.33
2
3.40
3
4.50
4
6.50
5
13.00
6
29.00
more 7
41.00
0
2.62
1
2.50
2
4.50
3
12.00
4
34.00
more 5
81.00
0
3.50
1
2.62
2
3.75
3
8.00
4
21.00
more 5
41.00
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
3.00
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.60
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.85
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.65
Over 2.75
2.50
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.90
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 1
1.11
Under 1
6.60
Over 2
1.62
Under 2
2.25
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.32
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
6.00
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.90
Over 3.25
3.55
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
5.25
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 1.5
3.30
Under 1.5
1.32
Over 1.75
4.25
Under 1.75
1.21
Over 1
2.10
Under 1
1.70
Over 2
7.00
Under 2
1.10
Over 0.5
1.48
Under 0.5
2.60
Over 0.75
1.68
Under 0.75
2.15
Over 1.25
2.68
Under 1.25
1.45
Home -1
5.50
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
4.33
Home -3
34.00
Draw -3
17.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
13.00
Draw -2
7.50
Away -2
1.14
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
4.50
Away +1
6.50
Home +2
1.10
Draw +2
8.50
Away +2
15.00
Home -1
11.00
Away -1
1.36
Draw -1
3.75
Home -3
201.00
Draw -3
51.00
Away -3
1.01
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
13.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.28
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
13.00
Home +2
1.03
Draw +2
15.00
Away +2
41.00
Home +3
1.00
Draw +3
67.00
Away +3
451.00
Over 8.5
1.73
Under 8.5
2.00
Over 9
1.98
Under 9
1.82
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
2.25
Under 4
2.30
Home +0.5
1.82
Away +0.5
1.98
Home +1
1.80
Draw +1
7.50
Away +1
2.40
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.25
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
6.50
Over 4.5
2.10
Under 4.5
1.67
Over 1.5
2.75
Under 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
21.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 4.5
1.80
Home
4.00
Away
4.50
Home
10.00
Away
11.00
Home
1.83
Away
1.91
Home
11.00
Away
13.00
Home
1.95
Draw
8.00
Away
2.10
Home
1.95
Draw
8.00
Away
2.10
Draw
3.40
1st Half
3.10
2nd Half
2.10
Home
4.33
Away
4.50
Home/Over 2.5
4.50
Draw/Over 2.5
13.00
Away/Over 2.5
5.00
Home/Under 2.5
5.00
Draw/Under 2.5
3.60
Away/Under 2.5
5.50
1 by 1
4.33
2 by 1
4.50
1 by 4+
34.00
1 by 2
7.50
2 by 2
8.50
1 by 3
17.00
2 by 3
21.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.33
Draw
8.00
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Home
5.00
Away
4.00
Draw
1.50
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.75
12 - 14
5.50
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
8.50
Draw
1.12
Away
9.00
Draw
2.20
1st Half
3.50
2nd Half
2.62
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 17.5
1.83
Under 17.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
8.00
Away/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Over 1.5
8.50
Home/Under 1.5
4.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.62
Away/Under 1.5
4.75
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
12.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.73
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.20
Under 9
2.00
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
3.00
Under 10
1.62
Exactly 11
10.00
Over 11
4.00
Under 11
1.36
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.00
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.00
Under 12
1.22
Exactly 6
9.00
Over 6
1.22
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
10.00
Under 13
1.12
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.06
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
26.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
19.00
Under 15
1.03
Primera División - Apertura Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
| 2. |
Central Espanol
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
| 3. |
Penarol
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
| 4. |
Racing Montevideo
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
| 5. |
Atletico Torque
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
| 6. |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
|
| 7. |
Club Nacional
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
| 8. |
Defensor Sporting
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
| 9. |
Danubio
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
| 10. |
Wanderers
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
|
| 11. |
Albion FC
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Cerro Largo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
| 13. |
Boston River
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
| 14. |
Cerro
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
| 15. |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
|
| 16. |
Progreso
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Wanderers
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 4
GA: 6
GD: -2
Deportivo Maldonado
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 9
GA: 5
GD: +4