🇺🇾 Primera División - Apertura
· Regular Season - 6
FT
Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo - Primera División - Apertura
Parque Palermo
Cen
2
·
Cer
3
AI Match Analysis
In round 6 of the Uruguayan Primera División Apertura, Central Espanol hosts Cerro Largo with significant implications at opposite ends of the table. Central Espanol currently sits in a strong 4th position, looking to consolidate their place amongst the early frontrunners. Cerro Largo, languishing in 14th, desperately needs points to climb away from the relegation zone. A win for the home side would solidify their top-half credentials, while an away victory could ignite Cerro Largo's season.
Central Espanol enters the match in good form, having won three of their last five matches, though their recent form includes a draw against Defensor Sporting. Their home record is mixed, with one win and one loss from their two games at Parque Palermo. In contrast, Cerro Largo has struggled recently, losing three of their last five. However, they did manage a draw against Atletico Torque in their last outing. Their away form mirrors their overall form, with one win and two losses on the road.
Historically, Cerro Largo holds a significant advantage in head-to-head matchups, winning four of the last five encounters, with one draw. While Central Espanol's recent form and league position make them favorites, Cerro Largo's historical dominance in this fixture cannot be ignored. The Elo model gives Central Espanol a substantial win probability, and given Cerro Largo's struggles, the home side should be confident of securing a positive result.
Central Espanol enters the match in good form, having won three of their last five matches, though their recent form includes a draw against Defensor Sporting. Their home record is mixed, with one win and one loss from their two games at Parque Palermo. In contrast, Cerro Largo has struggled recently, losing three of their last five. However, they did manage a draw against Atletico Torque in their last outing. Their away form mirrors their overall form, with one win and two losses on the road.
Historically, Cerro Largo holds a significant advantage in head-to-head matchups, winning four of the last five encounters, with one draw. While Central Espanol's recent form and league position make them favorites, Cerro Largo's historical dominance in this fixture cannot be ignored. The Elo model gives Central Espanol a substantial win probability, and given Cerro Largo's struggles, the home side should be confident of securing a positive result.
Our Predictions
1X2
1
43%
2.45
medium
BTTS
BTTS No
63%
1.67
high
O/U
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
high
Community Tips (1)
scoreline_pro
6 hours ago
PENDING
Primera División - Apertura
·
13:00
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Tip
1-0
Odds
8.31
Based on average goals and recent form, 1-0 is my predicted scoreline for Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo. At 8.31, it's worth a punt.
Match Info
Stadium
Parque Palermo
Referee
-
Round
Regular Season - 6
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
58.59%
Win Probability
41.41%
Match Analysis
Combo Double chance : Central Espanol or draw and -3.5 goals
Predicted winner: Central Espanol — Win or draw
Central Espanol
45.00%
Draw
45.00%
Cerro Largo
10.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -1.5
Match Events
14'
🟦
G. Gandolfo
Yellow Card
22'
🟦
G. Viera
Yellow Card
30'
⚽
A. Pandiani
51'
🟦
A. Pandiani
Yellow Card
58'
🟦
A. Piegas
Yellow Card
60'
⚽
R. Tarragona
61'
🔄
F. Sosa
(M. Cantera)
Substitution 1
64'
🟦
A. Villoldo
Yellow Card
71'
🔄
M. Aguilera
(F. Milan)
Substitution 2
78'
🔄
A. Pandiani
(D. Daguerre)
Substitution 1
78'
🔄
G. Viera
(B. Hernandez)
Substitution 2
83'
⚽
D. Daguerre
83'
🔄
M. Montiel
(I. Mendez)
Substitution 3
83'
🔄
L. Pino
(N. Campos)
Substitution 4
83'
🔄
Cesar Nunes
(J. Dupont)
Substitution 5
84'
🔄
M. Anasco
(J. Pou)
Substitution 3
87'
⚽
B. Hernandez
(T. Correa)
88'
🔄
S. Assis
(S. Marcel)
Substitution 4
Head to Head
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
1 wins
1 draws
3 wins
2018-09-22
Central Espanol
0 - 0
Cerro Largo
2018-04-28
Cerro Largo
1 - 0
Central Espanol
HT: 1-0
2017-11-15
Cerro Largo
3 - 0
Central Espanol
HT: 1-0
2017-06-28
Central Espanol
1 - 0
Cerro Largo
HT: 0-0
2016-09-10
Cerro Largo
3 - 0
Central Espanol
Odds
Bet365
Home
2.45
Draw
2.80
Away
2.80
Home
3.40
Draw
1.95
Away
3.75
Home
3.00
Draw
2.20
Away
3.20
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 2.5
2.60
Under 2.5
1.48
Over 3.5
5.00
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
6.50
Over 4.5
13.00
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 5.5
26.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
51.00
Under 6.5
1.00
Over 1.5
3.75
Under 1.5
1.25
Over 2.5
11.00
Under 2.5
1.05
Over 0.5
1.53
Under 0.5
2.38
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
7.00
Under 2.5
1.10
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.36
Under 0.5
3.00
Yes
2.10
No
1.67
Yes
6.00
No
1.12
Yes
4.33
No
1.20
Home -1.25
5.25
Away -1.25
1.16
Home -1
4.50
Away -1
1.19
Home -0.75
3.10
Away -0.75
1.35
Home -0.5
2.50
Away -0.5
1.50
Home -0.25
2.15
Away -0.25
1.68
Home +0
1.78
Away +0
2.02
Home +0.25
1.52
Away +0.25
2.42
Home +0.5
1.40
Away +0.5
2.85
Home +0.75
1.27
Away +0.75
3.55
Home +1
1.14
Away +1
5.75
Home -1.5
5.75
Away -1.5
1.14
Home +1.25
1.12
Away +1.25
6.00
Home +1.5
1.11
Away +1.5
6.60
Home -0.75
4.65
Away -0.75
1.18
Home -0.5
3.30
Away -0.5
1.32
Home -0.25
2.60
Away -0.25
1.48
Home +0
1.80
Away +0
2.00
Home +0.25
1.40
Away +0.25
2.85
Home +0.5
1.27
Away +0.5
3.55
Home +0.75
1.15
Away +0.75
5.50
Home/Draw
1.36
Home/Away
1.36
Draw/Away
1.50
Home/Draw
1.25
Home/Away
1.80
Draw/Away
1.30
1:0
6.50
2:0
11.00
2:1
11.00
3:0
26.00
3:1
26.00
3:2
41.00
4:0
51.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
6.50
1:1
6.00
2:2
19.00
0:1
7.00
0:2
13.00
0:3
29.00
1:2
12.00
1:3
29.00
2:3
41.00
3:3
67.00
0:4
67.00
1:4
67.00
2:4
101.00
4:2
81.00
0:5
201.00
1:5
201.00
2:5
301.00
3:4
201.00
5:0
151.00
5:1
151.00
5:2
251.00
4:3
201.00
1:0
4.50
2:0
15.00
2:1
29.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
81.00
3:2
251.00
4:0
201.00
0:0
2.38
1:1
9.00
2:2
67.00
0:1
4.75
0:2
17.00
0:3
51.00
1:2
29.00
1:3
101.00
2:3
301.00
0:4
301.00
Home/Draw
15.00
Home/Away
34.00
Draw/Away
6.50
Draw/Draw
4.33
Home/Home
4.33
Draw/Home
5.50
Away/Home
34.00
Away/Draw
15.00
Away/Away
5.00
Home
1.73
Away
2.00
Home/Yes
6.50
Draw/Yes
4.75
Away/Yes
7.50
Home/No
3.75
Draw/No
6.50
Away/No
4.33
o/yes 2.5
3.00
o/no 2.5
13.00
u/yes 2.5
6.00
u/no 2.5
1.83
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.20
Even
1.67
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
0
6.50
1
3.75
2
3.25
3
4.75
4
8.00
5
17.00
6
41.00
more 7
51.00
0
2.38
1
2.50
2
5.00
3
15.00
4
41.00
more 5
101.00
0
3.00
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
9.50
4
26.00
more 5
51.00
Over 1.5
1.50
Under 1.5
2.50
Over 1.75
1.65
Under 1.75
2.20
Over 2.25
2.25
Under 2.25
1.62
Over 2.5
2.60
Under 2.5
1.48
Over 2.75
3.10
Under 2.75
1.35
Over 3.5
5.00
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 1
1.16
Under 1
5.25
Over 2
1.92
Under 2
1.88
Over 3
4.15
Under 3
1.22
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
6.60
Over 0.75
1.13
Under 0.75
5.90
Over 1.25
1.32
Under 1.25
3.30
Over 3.25
4.50
Under 3.25
1.19
Over 3.75
6.60
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 1.5
3.55
Under 1.5
1.27
Over 1.75
5.00
Under 1.75
1.17
Over 1
2.38
Under 1
1.55
Over 0.5
1.58
Under 0.5
2.35
Over 0.75
1.82
Under 0.75
1.98
Over 1.25
3.10
Under 1.25
1.35
Home -1
6.00
Away -1
1.50
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
34.00
Draw -3
19.00
Away -3
1.03
Home -2
15.00
Draw -2
8.00
Away -2
1.12
Home +1
1.36
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
7.00
Home +2
1.09
Draw +2
9.00
Away +2
19.00
Home +3
1.03
Draw +3
19.00
Away +3
41.00
Home -1
12.00
Away -1
1.30
Draw -1
4.00
Home -3
401.00
Draw -3
67.00
Away -3
1.00
Home -2
41.00
Draw -2
13.00
Away -2
1.04
Home +1
1.25
Draw +1
4.33
Away +1
15.00
Home +2
1.03
Draw +2
13.00
Away +2
41.00
Home +3
1.00
Draw +3
67.00
Away +3
401.00
Over 8.5
1.67
Under 8.5
2.10
Over 9
1.92
Under 9
1.88
Exactly 4
5.00
Over 4
1.82
Under 4
1.98
Home +0
1.82
Away +0
1.98
Home -1
2.50
Away -1
1.73
Draw -1
8.00
Over 1.5
3.00
Under 1.5
1.36
Over 2.5
8.00
Under 2.5
1.08
Over 3.5
23.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.40
Under 0.5
2.75
0
2.75
1
2.50
2
4.33
more 3
8.00
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 4.5
1.80
Over 1.5
3.40
Under 1.5
1.30
Over 2.5
10.00
Under 2.5
1.06
Over 3.5
26.00
Under 3.5
1.01
Over 0.5
1.50
Under 0.5
2.50
0
2.50
1
2.50
2
4.50
more 3
10.00
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.73
Home
3.75
Away
4.33
Home
10.00
Away
11.00
Home
1.83
Away
2.00
Home
13.00
Away
15.00
Home
2.00
Draw
6.50
Away
2.20
Home
2.00
Draw
6.50
Away
2.20
Draw
3.10
1st Half
3.20
2nd Half
2.20
Home
5.00
Away
5.50
Home/Over 2.5
5.00
Draw/Over 2.5
15.00
Away/Over 2.5
6.00
Home/Under 2.5
4.50
Draw/Under 2.5
3.40
Away/Under 2.5
5.00
1 by 1
4.00
2 by 1
4.33
1 by 4+
34.00
1 by 2
8.00
2 by 2
9.00
1 by 3
19.00
2 by 3
23.00
2 by 4+
41.00
Score Draw
4.75
Draw
6.50
Draw
2.00
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Yes
2.75
No
1.40
Yes
2.50
No
1.50
Home
4.00
Away
4.50
Draw
1.53
Under 6
7.00
6 - 8
2.75
9 - 11
2.62
12 - 14
5.00
Over 14
13.00
Over
1.67
Under
2.10
Home
9.00
Draw
1.11
Away
9.50
Draw
2.10
1st Half
3.75
2nd Half
2.75
Odd
2.10
Even
1.67
Over 17.5
1.80
Under 17.5
1.91
Draw/Over 1.5
9.00
Away/Over 1.5
11.00
Home/Over 1.5
10.00
Home/Under 1.5
4.50
Draw/Under 1.5
2.38
Away/Under 1.5
4.75
Exactly 4
17.00
Over 4
1.04
Under 4
26.00
Exactly 5
13.00
Over 5
1.10
Under 5
13.00
Exactly 8
7.50
Over 8
1.67
Under 8
2.75
Exactly 9
7.50
Over 9
2.10
Under 9
2.10
Exactly 10
8.50
Over 10
2.75
Under 10
1.67
Exactly 11
9.50
Over 11
4.00
Under 11
1.40
Exactly 7
8.00
Over 7
1.40
Under 7
4.33
Exactly 12
12.00
Over 12
6.00
Under 12
1.22
Exactly 6
9.50
Over 6
1.20
Under 6
7.00
Exactly 13
15.00
Over 13
9.00
Under 13
1.12
Exactly 14
19.00
Over 14
13.00
Under 14
1.07
Exactly 16
29.00
Over 16
23.00
Under 16
1.02
Exactly 15
23.00
Over 15
17.00
Under 15
1.03
Primera División - Apertura Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Racing Montevideo
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2. |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 3. |
Atletico Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 4. |
Central Espanol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 10 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 5. |
Penarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 6. |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 7. |
Club Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 8. |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9. |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 10. |
Wanderers
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 11. |
Albion FC
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 12. |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 13. |
Juventud
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 14. |
Cerro Largo
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 15. |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 16. |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Promotion
Season Form
Central Espanol
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
GF: 6
GA: 2
GD: +4
Cerro Largo
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
GF: 2
GA: 6
GD: -4
Last 5 Matches
Central Espanol
08 Mar
A
Defensor Sporting
0-0
D
Cerro Largo
09 Mar
H
Atletico Torque
0-1
L
01 Mar
A
Liverpool Montevideo
0-2
L