🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 25
FT
Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan - Ekstraklasa
KGHM Zaglebie Arena
·
Ref: Daniel Stefanski, Poland
Zag
1
·
Lec
3
AI Match Analysis
A crucial clash in the Polish Ekstraklasa sees league leaders Zaglebie Lubin host third-placed Lech Poznan in a pivotal Round 25 encounter. With just three points separating the sides, and both vying for the championship, the stakes are incredibly high at the KGHM Zaglebie Arena. A win for Zaglebie would significantly strengthen their title aspirations, while Lech desperately needs a victory to close the gap and leapfrog their rivals.
Zaglebie enters this match with a slightly inconsistent recent form (LWDWW), but their home record is formidable, boasting six wins, five draws, and only one loss. Lech Poznan, on the other hand, arrives with impressive momentum (WDWWW), though their recent results have been draws across all competitions. While their away form is solid (5W 4D 3L), converting those draws into wins will be crucial if they want to challenge for the title.
Historically, the head-to-head record is closely contested, with Zaglebie edging it 2-2 with 1 draw in the last five meetings. Injury news will be critical in determining the final outcome, but Zaglebie's strong home form and league-leading position give them a slight edge, despite Lech's superior recent run. The home side will likely look to capitalize on their advantage in front of their fans.
Zaglebie enters this match with a slightly inconsistent recent form (LWDWW), but their home record is formidable, boasting six wins, five draws, and only one loss. Lech Poznan, on the other hand, arrives with impressive momentum (WDWWW), though their recent results have been draws across all competitions. While their away form is solid (5W 4D 3L), converting those draws into wins will be crucial if they want to challenge for the title.
Historically, the head-to-head record is closely contested, with Zaglebie edging it 2-2 with 1 draw in the last five meetings. Injury news will be critical in determining the final outcome, but Zaglebie's strong home form and league-leading position give them a slight edge, despite Lech's superior recent run. The home side will likely look to capitalize on their advantage in front of their fans.
Our Predictions
1X2
2
44%
2.00
medium
BTTS
BTTS Yes
43%
1.62
low
O/U
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
medium
Community Tips (1)
Ekstraklasa
·
13:45
·
FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
0
1
Tip
2/2
✅
Odds
6.00
Zaglebie Lubin tend to start strong, making 2/2 a solid half-time pick at 6.00.
Match Info
Stadium
KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Referee
Daniel Stefanski, Poland
Round
Regular Season - 25
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
82.91%
Win Probability
17.09%
Match Analysis
Double chance : Zaglebie Lubin or draw
Predicted winner: Zaglebie Lubin — Win or draw
Zaglebie Lubin
35.00%
Draw
35.00%
Lech Poznan
30.00%
Expected goals:
-2.5 - -2.5
Match Statistics
37%
Ball Possession
63%
14
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots off Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
289
Total passes
514
195
Passes accurate
424
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Match Events
7'
⚽
M. Ishak
14'
🟦
M. Nalepa
Yellow Card
41'
🟦
J. Moutinho
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
M. Dziewiatowski
(S. Kowalczyk)
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
M. Kosidis
(L. Szabo)
Substitution 2
46'
🔄
M. Grzybek
(L. Lucic)
Substitution 3
53'
🟦
A. Kozubal
Yellow Card
64'
🔄
P. Walemark
(L. Palma)
Substitution 1
64'
🔄
J. Moutinho
(M. Gurgul)
Substitution 2
68'
🔄
J. Corluka
(J. Diaz)
Substitution 4
73'
🔄
P. Rodriguez
(G. Thordarson)
Substitution 3
73'
🔄
M. Ishak
(Y. Agnero)
Substitution 4
79'
🔄
I. Orlikowski
(J. Sypek)
Substitution 5
86'
🔄
A. Gholizadeh
(R. Gumny)
Substitution 5
90+2'
🟦
W. Monka
Yellow Card
Player Ratings
Zaglebie Lubin
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Arkadiusz Wozniak
-
-
-
-
-
Lech Poznan
Player
Rtg
G
A
SoG
Pas
Timothy Ouma
-
-
-
-
-
Lineups
Zaglebie Lubin
3-4-3
4-4-2
Lech Poznan
Leszek Ojrzynski
Coach
Niels Frederiksen
3-4-3
44
Regula
9
Kosidis
18
Radwański
16
Ćorluka
8
Dąbrowski
20
Dziewiato.
13
Grzybek
31
Orlikowski
25
Nalepa
4
Michalski
1
Burić
4-4-2
9
Ishak
10
Wålemark
8
Gholizadeh
43
Kozubal
99
Rodríguez
14
Bengtsson
2
Pereira
27
Mońka
16
Milić
4
Moutinho
41
Mrozek
Starting XI
1
Jasmin Burić
G
G
Bartosz Mrozek
41
31
Igor Orlikowski
D
D
Joel Pereira
2
25
Michał Nalepa
D
D
Wojciech Mońka
27
4
Damian Michalski
D
D
Antonio Milić
16
16
Josip Ćorluka
M
D
João Moutinho
4
8
Damian Dąbrowski
M
M
Ali Gholizadeh
8
20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
M
M
Antoni Kozubal
43
13
Mateusz Grzybek
M
M
Pablo Rodríguez
99
44
Marcel Regula
F
M
Leo Bengtsson
14
9
Michalis Kosidis
F
F
Mikael Ishak
9
18
Adam Radwański
F
F
Patrik Wålemark
10
Substitutes
35
Luka Lučić
Michal Gurgul
15
7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
Luis Palma
77
17
Levente Szabó
Plamen Andreev
1
12
Rafał Gikiewicz
Mateusz Skrzypczak
72
94
Maciej Urbański
Robert Gumny
20
19
Jakub Sypek
Gisli Thordarson
23
27
Jesus Diaz
Taofeek Ismaheel
88
88
Mihael Mlinarić
Timothy Ouma
6
26
Jakub Kolan
Yannick Agnero
7
39
Filip Kocaba
11
Arkadiusz Wozniak
Head to Head
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
1
3
1 wins
1 draws
3 wins
2025-09-12
Lech Poznan
1 - 2
Zaglebie Lubin
HT: 1-1
2025-02-23
Lech Poznan
3 - 1
Zaglebie Lubin
HT: 2-1
2024-08-17
Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 1
Lech Poznan
HT: 0-1
2024-02-10
Lech Poznan
2 - 0
Zaglebie Lubin
HT: 1-0
2023-08-06
Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 1
Lech Poznan
HT: 1-0
Odds
Bet365
Home
3.40
Draw
3.20
Away
2.00
Home
3.75
Draw
2.30
Away
2.62
Home
3.40
Draw
2.60
Away
2.38
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
4.00
Over 2.5
1.75
Under 2.5
2.05
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.40
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
5.50
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 7.5
51.00
Under 7.5
1.00
Over 5.5
11.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
17.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 1.5
1.91
Under 1.5
1.80
Over 2.5
4.00
Under 2.5
1.22
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.20
Under 0.5
4.33
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Yes
1.62
No
2.20
Yes
4.00
No
1.22
Yes
3.00
No
1.36
Home -1.25
6.80
Away -1.25
1.10
Home -1
6.40
Away -1
1.12
Home -0.75
4.25
Away -0.75
1.21
Home -0.5
3.45
Away -0.5
1.30
Home -0.25
3.00
Away -0.25
1.38
Home +0
2.50
Away +0
1.50
Home +0.25
2.02
Away +0.25
1.78
Home +0.5
1.75
Away +0.5
2.05
Home +0.75
1.58
Away +0.75
2.35
Home +1
1.38
Away +1
3.00
Home +2
1.10
Away +2
7.00
Home +1.25
1.30
Away +1.25
3.45
Home +1.5
1.26
Away +1.5
3.70
Home +1.75
1.18
Away +1.75
4.65
Home +2.25
1.10
Away +2.25
7.00
Home +2.5
1.11
Away +2.5
6.60
Home -0.75
5.25
Away -0.75
1.16
Home -0.5
3.70
Away -0.5
1.26
Home -0.25
3.00
Away -0.25
1.38
Home +0
2.30
Away +0
1.60
Home +0.25
1.70
Away +0.25
2.10
Home +0.5
1.48
Away +0.5
2.60
Home +0.75
1.30
Away +0.75
3.45
Home +1
1.13
Away +1
5.90
Home +1.25
1.10
Away +1.25
6.80
Home +1.5
1.10
Away +1.5
7.00
Home/Draw
1.67
Home/Away
1.33
Draw/Away
1.28
Home/Draw
1.44
Home/Away
1.57
Draw/Away
1.25
1:0
13.00
2:0
19.00
2:1
12.00
3:0
41.00
3:1
26.00
3:2
29.00
4:0
67.00
4:1
51.00
0:0
13.00
1:1
6.50
2:2
12.00
0:1
9.50
0:2
11.00
0:3
19.00
1:2
9.00
1:3
15.00
2:3
23.00
3:3
41.00
0:4
41.00
1:4
34.00
2:4
41.00
4:2
51.00
0:5
67.00
0:6
151.00
1:5
51.00
1:6
151.00
2:5
81.00
2:6
201.00
3:4
67.00
5:0
201.00
5:1
126.00
5:2
151.00
6:1
501.00
4:3
81.00
3:5
151.00
3:6
451.00
4:5
401.00
5:3
251.00
4:4
151.00
0:7
501.00
1:7
501.00
1:0
5.50
2:0
17.00
2:1
23.00
3:0
51.00
3:1
67.00
3:2
126.00
4:0
251.00
4:1
301.00
0:0
3.25
1:1
7.50
2:2
41.00
0:1
4.33
0:2
11.00
0:3
34.00
1:2
19.00
1:3
51.00
2:3
101.00
3:3
451.00
0:4
101.00
1:4
151.00
2:4
451.00
0:5
451.00
Home/Draw
13.00
Home/Away
21.00
Draw/Away
5.50
Draw/Draw
6.00
Home/Home
5.50
Draw/Home
8.00
Away/Home
29.00
Away/Draw
13.00
Away/Away
3.25
Home
2.50
Away
1.50
Home/Yes
6.00
Draw/Yes
4.00
Away/Yes
3.75
Home/No
7.00
Draw/No
13.00
Away/No
4.00
o/yes 2.5
2.00
o/no 2.5
9.50
u/yes 2.5
6.50
u/no 2.5
2.75
Odd
2.02
Even
1.82
Odd
2.00
Even
1.80
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
0
13.00
1
6.00
2
3.75
3
4.33
4
5.00
5
9.00
6
17.00
more 7
21.00
0
3.25
1
2.60
2
4.00
3
8.50
4
23.00
more 5
51.00
0
4.33
1
2.88
2
3.40
3
6.00
4
13.00
more 5
23.00
Over 1.5
1.23
Under 1.5
4.10
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.55
Over 2.25
1.52
Under 2.25
2.42
Over 2.5
1.75
Under 2.5
2.05
Over 2.75
1.95
Under 2.75
1.85
Over 3.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.42
Over 2
1.32
Under 2
3.30
Over 3
2.20
Under 3
1.65
Over 4
4.40
Under 4
1.20
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
5.75
Over 4.5
5.25
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.42
Under 3.25
1.52
Over 3.75
3.30
Under 3.75
1.32
Over 4.25
4.80
Under 4.25
1.18
Over 4.75
6.60
Under 4.75
1.11
Over 1.5
2.50
Under 1.5
1.50
Over 1.75
3.30
Under 1.75
1.32
Over 2.25
5.75
Under 2.25
1.14
Over 2.5
6.25
Under 2.5
1.12
Over 1
1.70
Under 1
2.10
Over 2
5.00
Under 2
1.17
Over 0.5
1.32
Under 0.5
3.30
Over 0.75
1.45
Under 0.75
2.68
Over 1.25
2.10
Under 1.25
1.70
Home -1
7.50
Away -1
1.28
Draw -1
5.50
Home -2
19.00
Draw -2
11.00
Away -2
1.08
Home +1
1.67
Draw +1
4.00
Away +1
3.75
Home +2
1.25
Draw +2
6.00
Away +2
8.00
Home +3
1.07
Draw +3
12.00
Away +3
19.00
Home -1
13.00
Away -1
1.25
Draw -1
4.50
Home +1
1.44
Draw +1
3.40
Away +1
7.50
Home +2
1.07
Draw +2
9.50
Away +2
26.00
Home +3
1.01
Draw +3
29.00
Away +3
67.00
Over 10
1.90
Under 10
1.90
Over 10.5
2.10
Under 10.5
1.67
Exactly 5
5.50
Over 5
2.62
Under 5
1.91
Over 4.5
1.85
Under 4.5
1.95
Home +1
1.95
Away +1
1.85
Home +1
2.05
Draw +1
8.00
Away +1
1.95
Over 1.5
2.62
Under 1.5
1.44
Over 2.5
6.50
Under 2.5
1.11
Over 3.5
19.00
Under 3.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.33
Under 0.5
3.25
Over 4.5
51.00
Under 4.5
1.00
0
3.25
1
2.50
2
4.00
more 3
6.50
Over 4.5
2.00
Under 4.5
1.73
Over 1.5
1.83
Under 1.5
1.83
Over 2.5
3.75
Under 2.5
1.25
Over 3.5
10.00
Under 3.5
1.06
Over 0.5
1.18
Under 0.5
4.50
Over 4.5
23.00
Under 4.5
1.01
Over 5.5
51.00
Under 5.5
1.00
0
4.50
1
2.88
2
3.40
more 3
3.75
Over 5.5
1.91
Under 5.5
1.80
Home
7.00
Away
4.00
Home
13.00
Away
6.50
Home
2.10
Away
1.57
Home
13.00
Away
8.00
Home
2.20
Draw
13.00
Away
1.73
Home
2.20
Draw
13.00
Away
1.73
Draw
3.75
1st Half
3.00
2nd Half
2.00
Home
4.00
Away
3.00
Home/Over 2.5
5.50
Draw/Over 2.5
9.50
Away/Over 2.5
3.10
Home/Under 2.5
8.50
Draw/Under 2.5
4.50
Away/Under 2.5
5.50
1 by 1
5.50
2 by 1
4.00
1 by 4+
41.00
1 by 2
11.00
2 by 2
6.00
1 by 3
23.00
2 by 3
12.00
2 by 4+
19.00
Score Draw
4.00
Draw
13.00
Draw
2.62
1st Half
3.25
2nd Half
2.38
Odd
1.91
Even
1.80
Yes
3.25
No
1.33
Yes
4.50
No
1.18
Home
4.75
Away
2.75
Draw
1.83
Under 6
11.00
6 - 8
3.50
9 - 11
2.60
12 - 14
4.00
Over 14
8.00
Over
1.57
Under
2.25
Home
8.50
Draw
1.18
Away
6.50
Draw
2.25
1st Half
3.60
2nd Half
2.60
Odd
2.00
Even
1.73
Over 23.5
1.83
Under 23.5
1.83
Draw/Over 1.5
7.00
Away/Over 1.5
5.50
Home/Over 1.5
9.50
Home/Under 1.5
5.50
Draw/Under 1.5
3.25
Away/Under 1.5
4.33
Exactly 4
23.00
Over 4
1.02
Under 4
34.00
Exactly 5
17.00
Over 5
1.05
Under 5
19.00
Exactly 8
8.50
Over 8
1.40
Under 8
4.00
Exactly 9
8.00
Over 9
1.67
Under 9
2.75
Exactly 10
8.00
Over 10
2.10
Under 10
2.10
Exactly 11
9.00
Over 11
2.75
Under 11
1.67
Exactly 7
9.50
Over 7
1.22
Under 7
6.50
Exactly 12
10.00
Over 12
3.75
Under 12
1.40
Exactly 6
13.00
Over 6
1.11
Under 6
11.00
Exactly 13
12.00
Over 13
5.50
Under 13
1.25
Exactly 14
15.00
Over 14
8.00
Under 14
1.14
Exactly 17
26.00
Over 17
21.00
Under 17
1.02
Exactly 16
21.00
Over 16
15.00
Under 16
1.04
Exactly 15
19.00
Over 15
13.00
Under 15
1.08
Ekstraklasa Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:28 | +12 | 41 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2. |
Jagiellonia
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:31 | +9 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 3. |
Lech Poznan
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 41:36 | +5 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 4. |
Raków Częstochowa
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 33:29 | +4 | 37 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 5. |
GKS Katowice
|
24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 6. |
Gornik Zabrze
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | +2 | 35 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 7. |
Cracovia Krakow
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 29:26 | +3 | 34 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 8. |
Wisla Plock
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 24:23 | +1 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 9. |
Motor Lublin
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 10. |
Radomiak Radom
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | +4 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 11. |
Korona Kielce
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | +2 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 12. |
Piast Gliwice
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 13. |
Lechia Gdansk
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | +2 | 31 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 14. |
Pogon Szczecin
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 15. |
Legia Warszawa
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 16. |
Arka Gdynia
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 17. |
Widzew Łódź
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 18. |
Nieciecza
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
Champions League
Europa / Conference
Relegation
Season Form
Zaglebie Lubin
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 40
GA: 28
GD: +12
Lech Poznan
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
GF: 15
GA: 8
GD: +7
Last 5 Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
07 Mar
A
Piast Gliwice
3-1
W
Lech Poznan
12 Mar
H
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-3
L
07 Mar
A
Widzew Łódź
1-2
L
04 Mar
H
Gornik Zabrze
0-1
L
01 Mar
H
Raków Częstochowa
4-3
W
26 Feb
H
KuPS
1-0
W